Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Prediction 8/16/2024

The Minnesota Twins (68-53) travel to face off against the Texas Rangers (56-66) on Friday, August 16th. This game will be played at Globe Life Field in Arlington and televised on BSN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rangers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 7:05 CT.

Twins vs. Rangers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Rangers (-116)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Rangers have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games, indicating a strong offensive capability.
  • In their last 5 home games, the Rangers have won 3, showing a positive trend when playing at home.
  • The Rangers have a higher home win percentage (31-28) compared to the Twins’ away win percentage (32-29), giving them a home-field advantage.
  • In their last head-to-head game against the Twins, the Rangers won 6-2, demonstrating their ability to outperform this specific opponent.
  • The Rangers have scored an average of 4.6 runs per game over their last 15 games, which is higher than the Twins’ average runs allowed per game in the same period.

Twins vs Rangers

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It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Rangers series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight favorites at -120 and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Twins had a two-run 2nd inning but didn’t score another run until putting up the game-winning run in the top of the 9th.

Texas wasted a good outing from Cody Bradford, as he gave up just two earned runs in six innings of work for the Rangers. Kirby Yates took the loss. Jorge Alcala got the win out of the bullpen for the Twins as Bailey Ober went six innings, giving up two earned runs.

Offensively, the Twins were led by Willi Castro and Kyle Farmer, as they were the only two Twins hitters to have more than one hit. Castro, Adolis Garcia, and Marcus Semien each had two-hit games for the Rangers.

Minnesota is 68-53 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by four games. The Twins have a 28-17 record against other teams in the AL Central. They have an overall series record of 23-13-3 this year and are coming off a win over the Rangers.

When the Twins win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, and their overall run line record is 59-62. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, higher than their season average of 8 runs per game. Minnesota has gone over the O/U line in 62 of their 117 games this season.

Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins

Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson is starting for the Twins today as he faces the Rangers on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 3-3 with a 3.78 ERA. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his 20 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Woods Richardson gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work and took the loss. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.

Twins Offense Breakdown

Over the team’s last nine games, Willi Castro has gone just 8/38, but he does have two home runs and four RBIs during that stretch. Castro is batting .256 for the season and has gone deep 10 times. Ryan Jeffers has also struggled of late, hitting just .211 in his last nine games, but he does lead the Twins with 17 homers. Carlos Santana and Byron Buxton are tied for 2nd on the team with 16 homers apiece.

Carlos Santana has been a consistent power threat for the Twins this season, as he is 2nd on the team with 16 homers and has driven in 51 runs. He has gone 7/28 in his last eight games and has two homers during that stretch. Buxton has also gone deep twice in his last five games, going 4/15 over that stretch.

As the Rangers prepare to face the Twins, they are coming off a six-game series losing streak and have lost three straight games at home. Their overall run line record is 53-69, and they are 25-34 at home. Texas’ average run total per game this season is 8.8, and their O/U record in games with an 8.5 run line is 19-22.

Texas is 31-27 vs. the run line as underdogs and 5-11 straight up when playing at home in that role. Overall, the Rangers are 56-66, sitting in 3rd place in the AL West, 10 games behind the Astros. In divisional games, they have a 14-18 record.

Andrew Heaney Gets The Start For The Rangers

Left-hander Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Twins at home. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 4-12 with an ERA of 4.05. Looking at his overall numbers, Heaney has a WHIP of 1.23 and has turned in six quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.62 strikeouts and 2.55 walks. In his last outing, Heaney took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts.

Rangers Offense Breakdown

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Corey Seager has been the Rangers’ best hitter this season, leading the team with a batting average of .274 and 26 home runs. He also has a team-high 63 RBIs. Seager has gone deep four times in his last nine games, but he is batting just .237 during that stretch. Adolis Garcia is also near the top of the home run and RBI leaderboards, but he is hitting just .227 for the season.

Over his last 10 games, Garcia is batting .421, with two homers and six RBIs. Marcus Semien and Carson Kelly are both on four-game hitting streaks. Semien is batting .242 for the season with 17 homers, and Kelly is batting .242.

Twins vs Rangers Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Twins vs. Rangers game is to take the Rangers on the money line at -116. We have the Rangers winning this one by a score of 6-5, which would also have the over hitting with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Andrew Heaney finishing with seven strikeouts, which would have him as the seventh best among today’s starters. As for Simeon Woods Richardson, we have him finishing with five K’s, which would have him at 15th.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.