Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Prediction 8/17/2024

The Minnesota Twins (69-53) travel to face off against the Texas Rangers (56-67) on Saturday, August 17th. This game will be played at Globe Life Field in Arlington and televised on BSSW. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rangers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.

Twins vs. Rangers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Rangers (-126)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Rangers have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games, showing their potential for high offensive output.
  • In their last 15 home games, the Rangers have won 6 times, indicating a decent home-field advantage.
  • The Rangers have outscored their opponents by a combined 10 runs in their last 3 wins, demonstrating their ability to secure decisive victories.
  • In the last 15 games, the Rangers have won 3 out of 4 games where they scored 6 or more runs, highlighting the importance of their offensive performance.
  • The Rangers have a recent head-to-head win against the Twins, with a 6-2 victory on May 26th, suggesting they can compete effectively against this opponent.

Twins vs Rangers

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It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Rangers series. Minnesota went into the matchup as +106 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-3 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Rangers could only muster two more runs in the 4th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th, and both offenses went silent after that.

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers each homered for the Twins, while Marcus Semien went deep for the Rangers. Santana, Jeffers, and Leody Taveras each had two RBIs for their respective teams.

Simeon Woods Richardson pitched well for the Twins in this one, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished with only one strikeout but induced 11 groundouts. Jhoan Duran got the save. Andrew Heaney had a rough outing for the Rangers, taking the loss.

Minnesota has a 69-53 overall record and is 2nd in the AL Central, three games behind the Guardians. They have won two straight games and lead the series against the Rangers 2-0.

As favorites, the Twins are 55-31 this season, but as underdogs, they are 14-22. Their average run margin in wins is +3.7, while in losses, it’s -3.6. The under has hit in their last three games, and their O/U record for games with an 8.5 run line is 19-19.

David Festa Gets The Start For The Twins

Right-hander David Festa is starting for the Twins today as he faces the Rangers on the road. He has made five starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 5.21. In his most recent outing, Festa went 3 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with a no-decision. Looking back at his last three starts, he has finished with a no-decision in each outing. Festa’s ERA on the road is 4.2, and he has allowed a total of seven home runs this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.73 strikeouts and 2.93 walks.

Twins Offense Breakdown

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are currently tied for the team lead in home runs, with Santana having the better batting average of the two at .242 compared to Jeffers’ mark of .226. Jeffers and Santana also come into the game as the team’s top two leaders in RBIs. Willi Castro is also a player to watch, as he is batting .256 for the season and has gone deep 10 times.

Carlos Santana has two homers in his past five games but is just 3/16 in that stretch, while Willi Castro has two homers in his last six games but is just 4/22. Byron Buxton has gone 2/7 in his last two games, with two homers and three RBIs.

As the favorite, the Rangers have a 36-29 straight-up record but are just 20-38 as underdogs. They have lost four straight games as the favorite at home and are currently on a six-series losing streak. Texas is 31-29 at home and 25-38 on the road, with an overall record of 56-67, placing them 10 games behind the Astros in the AL West.

On the run line, the Rangers have a 53-70 record for the season, including 25-35 at home and 28-35 on the road. As underdogs, they have a 31-27 run line record. The over/under record for Texas games this season is 55-63, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs. The under has hit in their last two games, and the O/U record for games with an 8.5 run total is 19-23.

Nathan Eovaldi Gets The Start For The Rangers

Texas is sending Nathan Eovaldi to the mound today vs. the Twins, and he is coming off a rough outing vs. the Yankees. In that start, he took the loss, going three innings and giving up three earned runs. Looking back over his last four starts, Eovaldi has finished with a no-decision, win, and two losses. His ERA for the season is 3.75, along with a record of 8-6. Eovaldi has made 21 starts, and opponents are batting .225 vs. the right-hander this season. Eovaldi has turned in 10 quality starts this year.

Rangers Offense Breakdown

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Adolis Garcia has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/21 in his last five games with two homers. For the season, he is 2nd on the team with 20 homers but has a batting average of just .227. Corey Seager has been the Rangers’ top run producer this season, with 63 RBIs to go along with a team-leading 26 homers. He also has a solid batting average of .272.

As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are hitting a combined .239. They have been a little better on the road this season, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Texas comes into the game as the league’s 15th ranked home run-hitting team.

Twins vs Rangers Prediction

With the Rangers going off at -126 on the money line, that is the direction we would recommend going for today’s Twins vs. Rangers matchup. We have the Rangers winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nathan Eovaldi finishing with six strikeouts compared to David Festa with just four. Eovaldi is also projected to go fewer innings than Festa, but we have his chances of picking up the win as the eighth best among today’s starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.