Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 7/29/2024

The Washington Nationals (49-57) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (55-51) on Monday, July 29th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on MASN. Both the Nationals and Diamondbacks are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (-171)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • Diamondbacks have scored an average of 6.0 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • Diamondbacks have a home record of 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
  • Diamondbacks have won 6 of their last 10 games overall.
  • Diamondbacks have outscored their opponents by 15 runs in their last 5 home games.
  • Diamondbacks have a season home record of 28-25 compared to the Nationals’ away record of 26-30.

Nationals vs Diamondbacks

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The Diamondbacks Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Nationals wrapped up their series vs. the Cardinals with a 4-3 loss on the road. Washington was the +127 underdog going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Nationals, as they got on the board with two runs in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Cardinals scored in the bottom of the first.

DJ Herz got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits. The Nationals had eight hits but only scored three runs. Jacob Young and Lane Thomas each had two hits and scored one run apiece.

Washington has a 5-5 record in their last 10 games and are 10 games out of a Wild Card spot, with a 16.5-game deficit behind the Phillies in the NL East. Their overall record is 49-57, placing them 4th in the division.

As underdogs, the Nationals have a 39-48 straight-up record and a 51-36 record against the run line. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs, resulting in a 51-51 over/under record. Against the run line on the road, they are 33-23.

Mitchell Parker Gets The Start For The Nationals

Left-hander Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 4.34. Parker’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his 18 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is coming off a rough outing where he gave up six earned runs in three innings of work. Looking back at his last four outings, Parker has allowed at least five earned runs in three of them. So far, he has allowed a total of 13 homers.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 18th in the league at 4.2 runs per game. They have been slightly better on the road (4.3 RPG) than at home (4.1 RPG). The Nationals have the league’s worst home run total and are near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.

CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as he leads the team with 15 home runs. Abrams is also 1st on the team with 51 RBIs. Luis Garcia Jr. is 2nd on the team in RBIs and has a batting average of .276. Juan Yepez has been swinging a hot bat for the Nationals, going 8/23 in his last six games.

The Diamondbacks Took The Last Game Of This Series

Eugenio Suarez had a big game for the Diamondbacks in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, going 1/2 with three RBIs and a homer. However, the Diamondbacks couldn’t hold on to their lead, and they ended up losing 6-5. Arizona was the -116 favorite at home going into the game.

Yilber Diaz started for the Diamondbacks, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out seven Pirates batters. However, the Diamondbacks’s bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Justin Martinez took the loss out of the bullpen. The Diamondbacks also wasted a big game from Eugenio Suarez, who homered in the 4th inning, going 3/2.

Arizona has been a strong run line bet on the road, going 31-22, while they have struggled at home with a 24-29 record. As underdogs, they have a 35-23 run line record. The Diamondbacks are 55-51 overall and trail the Dodgers by 7.5 games in the NL West, sitting in 3rd place.

For the season, Arizona’s games have averaged 9.7 runs, resulting in a 56-47 over/under record. When the total is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 12-11-2. The over has hit in two straight games, and 15.1% of their games have had a total of 9 runs.

Jordan Montgomery Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Left-hander Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today vs. the Nationals. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 6.11. Montgomery’s WHIP for the season is 1.61. In his last outing, he went 5 innings and gave up one earned run on three hits. He finished with just one walk and two strikeouts in the outing. Montgomery has won two straight starts and has not lost since June 27th. At home, his ERA is 10.93 compared to 5.12 on the road.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

arizona diamondbacks

Arizona’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are 2nd in the league in runs scored at 5 per game. They are also one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, with their 116 homers being 12th in the league. The Diamondbacks have a team batting average of .253, which is 6th in the MLB.

Over his last five games, Ketel Marte has been on fire, going 6/14 with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .296 with a team-high 23 homers. Christian Walker also has 23 homers this season, and his 71 RBIs are 7th best in the league. Joc Pederson has been a good addition for the Diamondbacks, as he is batting .277 with 15 homers.

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Nationals vs. Diamondbacks game is to take the Diamondbacks to win straight up. However, with the Diamondbacks being -171 on the money line, we actually like the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jordan Montgomery finishing with six strikeouts, which is better than Mitchell Parker, who we have finishing with just four. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, Montgomery is a good option.

Looking at the lineups, the Diamondbacks are actually projected to finish with more hits than the Nationals, and they are also projected to hit more home runs.

As for a final score, we have the Diamondbacks winning this one 6-5.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.