Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction 4/26/2024

The Washington Nationals (10-14) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (6-20) on Friday, April 26th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on MASN. Both the Nationals and Marlins are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Nationals vs Marlins

washington nationals nba

Washington closed out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 2-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Dodgers scored one run in the top of the 8th. The Nationals were the +153 underdog at home going into the game.

MacKenzie Gore put together a good start for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out four. However, the Nationals couldnjson’t close things out, and Joey Meneses took the loss out of the bullpen. Washington’s offense was carried by Meneses, who went 3/4 with a run scored.

Washington is on the road today vs. the Marlins, having dropped three straight games, and they are 10-14 overall. The Nationals are 7.5 games behind the Braves in the NL East and are 1-2 in the division this year. Washington lost the final two games of their series vs. the Dodgers and dropped the opener of that series.

As the underdog, the Nationals are 9-13 this year compared to 1-1 as the favorite. At home, Washington has gone just 4-8 this year, while they are 6-6 on the road. So far, they have a series record of 3-5.

Washington has been a solid bet against the spread this season, going 14-10 on the run line. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 9-3 against the run line. The Nationals have been a better bet as the underdog, going 13-9 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4.

Washington’s over/under record is 9-14 this season, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 3-5. So far, 37.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, while 29.2% have had lines set lower. Their combined run average this season is 7.9 runs per game.

Trevor Williams Gets The Start For The Nationals

Trevor Williams and the Nationals are on the road to take on the Marlins. Williams has started 2 games this season, and he has a win and a no-decision. He has gone 5 innings in each of his starts, and in his most recent outing, he went 6 innings and allowed just 1 earned run.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense is averaging just 3.5 runs per game this season, which is 26th in the league. This is a result of their poor home and road splits, as they are averaging just 3.0 runs per game at home and 4.0 on the road. As a team, they are batting .231, which is 15th in the league, and are 12th in the league in home runs.

CJ Abrams comes into the game with a batting average of .302 and has been hot of late, going 7/21 in his last five games with a homer. Abrams is also the Nationals’ top power threat, as his six homers are 5th in the league. Joey Gallo has just three homers this season and is batting just .129.

Miami is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 4-3 loss to the Braves, Jesús Sánchez went deep, and Tanner Scott was excellent out of the bullpen, tossing three scoreless innings. The Marlins also got a good start from Sixto Sánchez, but he only lasted 2 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs.

Sánchez took the loss, and the Marlins were at +224 on the money line going into this game. Miami’s offense scored their three runs on only seven hits and wasted a good game from Sánchez, who started the game by going 1/3 with a homer.

Miami will host the Nationals today with an overall record of 6-20, which has them 5th in the NL East. The Marlins are 12.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-5 this year.

The Marlins dropped the final game of their series vs. the Braves and have now lost three straight overall. Miami has really struggled at home this year, going just 2-11. On the road, they are 4-9. So far, the Marlins have been the favorite seven times, and they are 0-7 in those games. As for their series record, the Marlins are 0-7-1 this year and have lost four straight series at home.

The Marlins have been a run-line bettor’s nightmare so far this season, as they have gone 9-17 against the run line. They have been especially bad at home, going just 3-10 against the run line. They have also lost seven straight run-line bets when they have been favored.

So far this season, 13 of the Marlins’ 26 games have gone over the total. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs for six of their games. In those games, the O/U record is 8-6, and the under has hit in three straight games.

Jesús Luzardo Gets The Start For The Marlins

Jesús Luzardo is getting the start for the Marlins at home against the Nationals. He has started 3 games this season and has yet to pick up a win, but has gone at least 5 innings in each start. His most recent outing was a 6 inning start in which he struck out 6 and gave up 3 runs on 3 hits.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

So far this season, the Marlins offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.4 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.2 runs per contest. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .216 and have the league’s 13th worst home run total.

Bryan De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Marlins so far this season, as he is batting .262 with a team-high five home runs. His 14 RBIs are 2nd on the team and 12th in the league. Jake Burger is also tied for the team lead in homers and is batting .228. Luis Arraez comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .299 for the season.

 

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction

 

Our prediction for the Marlins vs. Nationals game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Marlins, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you wanted to take the Marlins on the money line.

If you are looking for a starting pitcher to pick up the win, Jesus Luzardo is a good option, as we have him finishing with seven strikeouts and picking up the win 12th among starters. As for Trevor Williams, we have him finishing with five K’s and ranking ninth in terms of starters to finish with a win.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.