Nationals vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction 4/27/2024

The Washington Nationals (11-14) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (6-21) on Saturday, April 27th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on MASN. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.

Nationals vs Marlins

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Washington picked up a 3-1 road win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a two-run 8th inning, scoring the game’s final two runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 3rd inning.

Trevor Williams got the start for the Nationals, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with only one strikeout and allowed two walks. Derek Law got the win out of the bullpen, and Kyle Finnegan got the save.

Miami’s Anthony Maldonado only went three innings but didn’t give up a run. He finished the game with two strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Calvin Faucher took the loss.

Washington is 11-14 overall heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Marlins. The Nationals are 7.5 games behind the Braves for the NL East lead. So far, they are 2-2 in divisional games and picked up a win in the first game of this series vs. the Marlins.

At home, the Nationals are only 4-8 this year, but they have gone 7-6 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 10-13 compared to 1-1 as the favorite. Washington’s overall series record is 3-5 this year.

Washington has been a solid play on the run line this season, going 15-10 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 10-3 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.5, while it drops to -3.4 in losses.

Washington’s over/under record is 9-15 on the season, and the average line for their games is 9 runs. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, and the Nationals have played in just three games with a line set at that number this season. Their games have averaged 7.8 runs per game, and their last two games have gone under the total.

Mitchell Parker Gets The Start For The Nationals

Mitchell Parker is getting the start today for the Nationals on the road against the Marlins. He has picked up wins in both of his starts so far this season. In his first start, Parker went 5 innings and gave up 2 earned runs, and then followed that up with a 7-inning outing where he struck out 8 and didn’t allow a run.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Nationals offense is averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .231, and their team on-base percentage of .309 is also below the league average. The good news is that they do have the 12th most home runs in the league, and CJ Abrams has been a bright spot, as he is hitting .303 for the season and has gone 11/35 in his last nine games.

Joey Meneses and CJ Abrams are currently tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 12 apiece. Meneses is also on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .256 for the season. Joey Gallo has struggled so far, hitting just .122, but he does have three homers.

Miami is hosting the Nationals today with an overall record of 6-21, which has them 5th in the NL East, 13.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead. The Marlins dropped the first game of their series vs. the Nationals after losing each of the last four games of their series vs. the Braves.

So far, the Marlins have really struggled at home, going just 2-12 compared to 4-9 on the road. This season, they are 0-8 as the favorite and 0-8 as the home favorite. Miami’s overall series record is 0-7-1 and they have lost four straight series at home.

When the Marlins win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.5. However, they have been losing by an average of -3.3 runs per game. Miami is 9-18 against the run line this season, with a 3-11 mark at home. They are 6-7 on the road vs. the run line.

When the Miami Marlins play, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs. However, today’s line is set at 7.5 runs. The Marlins have gone under the total in four straight games, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season. The over/under record for Miami this season is 13-14, and the over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 1-1.

Edward Cabrera Gets The Start For The Marlins

Edward Cabrera is getting the start for the Marlins today against the Nationals. He is coming off a win in his first start of the season, where he went 5 innings and struck out 7, but did give up 3 runs on 7 hits. In his first start of the season, he went 6 innings and struck out 10.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

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As a team, the Marlins are batting just .216 this season, which is 20th in the league. They have also struggled to put runs on the board, averaging just 3.3 runs per game. Miami’s team on-base percentage of .272 is also one of the worst in the league. The Marlins’ offense has been particularly bad at home, where they are averaging just 3.2 runs per game.

One of the few bright spots in the Marlins lineup has been Bryan De La Cruz, who is batting .255 for the season and is 6th in the league with five home runs. However, he has gone just 4/26 in his last seven games. Luis Arraez has been hot of late, going 11/30 in his last seven games, but he is still looking for his first home run of the season.


Nationals vs Marlins Prediction


Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Marlins, giving us a good amount of value on the money line at -140. Offensively, we have the Marlins finishing with nine hits compared to the Nationals with nine.

Looking at the starters, we have Edward Cabrera finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Mitchell Parker with just four. If you’re looking for a parlay option, you could look to pair the Marlins with Edward Cabrera to pick up a win and finish with seven K’s.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.