Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction 4/28/2024

The Washington Nationals (12-14) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (6-22) on Sunday, April 28th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 1:40 ET.

Nationals vs Marlins

washington nationals nba

Washington cruised to an easy 11-4 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 5th inning, scoring five of their eleven runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their final run in the 5th and couldn’t get anything else going.

Mitchell Parker only went four innings for the Nationals but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Jacob Barnes came out of the bullpen for the win. Edward Cabrera had a rough outing for the Marlins, giving up five earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Jesse Winker and Trey Lipscomb each had three hits and combined for five RBIs. Winker, Nick Senzel, and Keibert Ruiz each homered for the Nationals’ offense.

Washington will be on the road today vs. the Marlins, and they are 12-14 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East. The Nationals are 6.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead. So far, they have gone 3-2 in divisional games.

The Nationals have won two straight games, and these two wins came after dropping three straight to the Dodgers. This year, the Nationals are 7-6 as road underdogs, and they have won three straight as the road underdog. As the favorite, Washington is just 1-1 this year, and their overall series record is 3-5.

Washington has been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 16-10 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 11-3 ATS. They’ve covered the run line in three straight games and are 15-9 ATS as an underdog this season.

Washington’s over/under record for the season is now 10-15, and the average over/under line for their games is 9.0 runs. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 3-6, and the combined run average for their games this season is 8.0 runs. In the last 10 games, the Nationals have seen the over hit 5 times and the under hit 4 times with 1 push.

Patrick Corbin Gets The Start For The Nationals

Patrick Corbin and the Nationals are on the road to take on the Marlins, and Corbin is looking to pick up his first win of the season. He’s coming off a no-decision in his last start, where he went 5 1/3 innings and struck out 3. He’s had a tough start to the season, as he’s given up 5 earned runs in each of his first two outings.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league so far, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 25th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3 runs per game. As a team, the Nationals are batting .233, and their team on-base percentage of .312 is 15th in the league. The team’s collective slugging percentage of .371 is 19th in the league.

CJ Abrams has been one of the few bright spots in the Nationals lineup, as he is batting .301 for the season and has gone 9/28 (.321) over his last seven games. Abrams also has a team-high six home runs. Joey Meneses is on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 11/28 in his last seven games.

Miami is hosting the Nationals today with an overall record of 6-22, which has them 5th in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-7. The Marlins are 13.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead.

The Marlins have dropped five straight games, and this losing streak came after losing four straight to the Braves. This season, they are just 2-13 at home compared to 4-9 on the road. Miami is still looking for their first win as the home favorite, as they are 0-9. As the underdog, the Marlins are 6-13 this year.

The Marlins have been a poor bet on the run line this season, going just 9-19 overall. They are even worse at home, where they are just 3-12 against the run line. They have been a better bet on the road, going 6-7 against the run line. They have failed to cover the run line in their last three home games and are 0-9 against the run line when favored this season.

Today’s over/under line is 8.5 runs, which is right around the Marlins’ season average of 8.6 runs per game. So far this season, the Marlins have played 28 games with over/under lines, and their record is 14-14. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Marlins have gone 8-7 in those games. This season, 21.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Ryan Weathers Gets The Start For The Marlins

Ryan Weathers is getting the start for the Marlins at home against the Nationals. Weathers has been solid through his first three starts, going 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA. He’s coming off a loss to the Braves, where he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 6.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

So far this season, the Marlins offense is averaging just 3.3 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .221 and have the league’s 13th worst home run total. Miami’s team on-base percentage of .276 is also one of the worst marks in the league.

Luis Arraez has been the Marlins’ top hitter this season, batting .301. He is also the team’s leader in RBIs, but he has yet to hit a home run. Jake Burger and Nick Gordon are also near the top of the league in RBIs, but both are batting below .230. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has gone 6/21 in his last six games, while Jesús Sánchez has two homers in his last five games.


Nationals vs Marlins Prediction


Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Marlins. Given that they are at -144 on the money line, we think this is the best way to go about betting on this game.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ryan Weathers finishing with five strikeouts compared to Patrick Corbin with four. Weathers is also projected to finish with fewer earned runs than Corbin.

Offensively, we have the Marlins finishing with nine hits compared to the Nationals with nine. However, the Nationals are projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the lowest of any team today.

If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could look to pair the Marlins with the under. The line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this game going under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.