The Washington Nationals (13-14) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (6-23) on Monday, April 29th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on MASN. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.
Nationals vs Marlins
Washington rallied for five runs in the 4th inning and added two more in the 8th as they picked up a 12-9 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 4th inning, scoring all five of their runs and picking up nine of their 14 hits. As for the Marlins, they scored six of their nine runs in the 1st inning.
Patrick Corbin got the start for the Nationals, going just four innings while giving up four runs and striking out four. Derek Law got the win out of the bullpen, and Kyle Finnegan got the save. Ryan Weathers only went four innings for the Marlins, giving up six runs on five hits.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with four RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Nick Senzel did a bit of everything for the Nationals, going 2/6 with two homers and five RBIs.
Washington is on the road today vs. the Marlins, and they have won three straight games. In the NL East, they are 6.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead. Overall, they are 13-14 and have gone 4-2 in divisional games.
At home, the Nationals are only 4-8 this year, but they have been much better on the road at 9-6. As the road underdog, the Nationals have put together an 8-6 record this year. Washington’s overall series record is 3-5 this season.
The Nationals have been a strong bet against the run line this season, going 17-10 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 12-3 against the run line. They’ve covered the run line in their last four road games and in their last four games as an underdog.
Washington’s over/under record for the season is now 11-15 after the over hit in their last two games. The combined run average for their games this season is now 8.5 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Marlins is set at 8.5 runs. So far this season, 33.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run line.
Jake Irvin Gets The Start For The Nationals
Jake Irvin and the Nationals are on the road to take on the Marlins. Irvin has started 3 games so far this season, and he has a win and 2 losses. He is coming off a loss to the Dodgers, where he struck out 12 but gave up 6 runs in 4 2/3 innings.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense has been a bit better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. Overall, they are 19th in the league at 4.1 runs per contest. The Nationals have been a good home run hitting team so far, but they are batting just .238 as a team and are near the bottom of the league in home scoring.
CJ Abrams has been a bright spot for the Nationals this season, hitting .296 with a team-high six home runs. He is also 13th in the league with 15 RBIs. Abrams is currently on a four-game hitting streak. Jacob Young has also gone 8/15 in his last four games, with seven runs scored.
Miami’s overall record is 6-23 heading into today’s home matchup vs. the Nationals. The Marlins are on a six-game losing streak, and they are 14.5 games behind the Braves for the NL East lead. So far, they are just 1-8 in divisional games.
The Marlins have really struggled at home this year, going 2-14. On the road, they are 4-9. So far, they have yet to win a game as the favorite, going 0-10. As for their record as the underdog, they are 6-13 this year. Miami’s overall series record is 0-7-1, and they have dropped four straight series at home.
When the Marlins are favored, they have not been a good bet against the run line, going 0-10. Overall, they are 9-20 against the run line. Their average run margin is -2.0 runs per game, and they are 3-13 against the run line at home. They have a run line losing streak of four games, and they have been favored in 10 straight games.
The Miami Marlins have had 15 of their 29 games go over the total this season, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Washington Nationals is 8.5 runs, and the Marlins have played to the over in 9 of their 16 games with that line. Their over/under record for the season is 15-14, and they have hit the over in each of their last two games.
Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins
After starting the season with a pair of losses, Trevor Rogers has a no-decision in his most recent outing, where he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 6. He has yet to go more than 5 2/3 innings in a start this season. He has given up a home run in each of his first 3 starts.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Over his last nine games, Luis Arraez has been swinging a hot bat for the Marlins, going 15/38. However, he has yet to hit a home run this season. Bryan De La Cruz has been the team’s top power threat, with five homers, which is 6th best in the league. De La Cruz is also 14th in the league with 14 RBIs. However, he is hitting just .261 for the season and has gone 7/35 over his last nine games.
As a team, the Marlins are batting just .224 and are 28th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.5 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. Miami’s team on-base percentage is just .281, and they are also near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage and OPS.
Nationals vs Marlins Prediction
Our prediction for this Nationals vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line at -154. We actually have the Marlins winning this one by a score of 5-4, meaning there could be some value in taking the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Trevor Rogers has a higher strikeout projection than Jake Irvin, and we have Rogers finishing with seven K’s compared to Irvin with just four. Offensively, the Marlins lineup is projected to pick up nine hits, compared to the Nationals with nine.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:April 29, 2024 Marlins, Nationals