The Washington Nationals (43-52) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (54-41) on Saturday, July 13th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Nationals vs. Brewers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Nationals (+110)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Nationals have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
- In their last 15 games, the Nationals have won 3 out of 4 games where they scored at least 7 runs.
- The Nationals have a recent win against the Brewers, scoring 5 runs and allowing only 2.
- The Nationals have a better away record (23-28) compared to the Brewers’ home record (26-25).
- The Nationals have won 4 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record.
Nationals vs Brewers
Washington picked up a 5-2 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 4th inning, scoring all five of their runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the +228 underdogs.
Jackson Rutledge only went 4 2/3 innings for the Nationals but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Robert Garcia got the win out of the bullpen, and Kyle Finnegan got the save.
On the other side, Freddy Peralta had a rough outing for the Brewers, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. He did finish the game with six strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk.
Washington has a 43-52 overall record and is 18.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Their series record is 11-17-2, and they have lost two straight series. Against the run line, the Nationals are 53-42 overall and 29-22 on the road, but as favorites, they are 8-9 vs. the run line.
This season, the average run total for Nationals games is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 44-47. The under has hit in their last three games, and their O/U record when the total is 9 runs is 5-7-2.
Mitchell Parker Gets The Start For The Nationals
Washington is sending left-hander Mitchell Parker to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 3.44 ERA. Parker’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09. In his last outing, he took the loss, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings. Parker has allowed a total of 12 home runs this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.27 strikeouts and just 1.87 walks.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Nationals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .238, but they do have the league’s top home run hitter in CJ Abrams, who has 14 homers and is batting .270.
Juan Yepez comes into the game on an eight-game hitting streak and has gone 6/18 in his last five games. Ildemaro Vargas has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 2/6 in his last three games with a home run. Keibert Ruiz has a six-game hitting streak and is 5/16 in his last four games.
Milwaukee is currently leading the NL Central by five games over the Cardinals with a 54-41 record, but they have lost two straight games. The Brewers have a 32-20 record as favorites and are 22-21 as underdogs. Their overall series record is 17-10-3, but they have lost their last two series.
When the Brewers are underdogs against the run line, they have a 28-15 record. Overall, their run line record is 49-46, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game. In games with over/under lines under 9 runs, the over has hit in 50 of 91 games, with an average of 8.7 runs per game.
Dallas Keuchel Gets The Start For The Brewers
Dallas Keuchel will be making his third start of the season for the Brewers, and he will be facing the Nationals at home. Keuchel has yet to pick up a win this season, but he has been solid in his first two outings. He went 4 innings in his first start, giving up 5 runs, and then went 5 1/3 innings in his last start, giving up 2 runs and striking out 5.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
Christian Yelich has been on fire for the Brewers over the team’s last 10 games, going 12/34 with three homers and seven runs scored. For the season, Yelich is batting .327 with 11 homers, which is the 2nd most on the team. Rhys Hoskins has also hit three homers in his last nine games, but he has struggled overall, hitting just .214 for the season and .133 over his last nine games.
Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with both players having 63 RBIs. Adames has 14 homers this season, while Hoskins also has 14 homers but has a better batting average. William Contreras is hitting .289 for the season and has 10 homers, which is 3rd on the team.
Nationals vs Brewers Prediction
Our predicted score for this Nationals vs. Brewers matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Nationals, making the Nationals money line at +110 our recommended pick. We have the Nationals finishing with the second-most runs in the league today, and they also have a higher predicted home run total compared to the Brewers.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dallas Keuchel finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the second-lowest among all starters today. As for Mitchell Parker, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for 21st among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 13, 2024 Brewers, Nationals