Washington Nationals vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction 7/10/2024

The Washington Nationals (42-50) travel to face off against the New York Mets (45-45) on Wednesday, July 10th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on MASN. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Nationals vs. Mets Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mets (-192)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 home games, showing strong recent performance at home.
  • In the last 15 games, the Mets have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game, indicating a potent offense.
  • The Mets have a 3-1 record against the Nationals in their last 4 head-to-head matchups, demonstrating recent success against this opponent.
  • The Mets have outscored the Nationals 28-17 in their last 4 head-to-head games, showing a significant run differential in their favor.
  • The Mets have a winning streak of 1 game and have won 7 of their last 10 games, indicating good recent form.

Nationals vs Mets

washington nationals nba

New York picked up a 7-5 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Nationals, they scored three of their five runs in the 9th inning.

Jose Quintana pitched well for the Mets in this one, going seven innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Edwin Díaz closed things out. Jake Irvin had a rough outing for the Nationals, taking the loss.

At the plate, Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo each homered for the Mets. Lindor, Harrison Bader, and Keibert Ruiz each had three hits and two RBIs. For the Nationals, Ildemaro Vargas hit a home run and drove in two runs.

Washington is 42-50 overall, 4th in the NL East, and 17.5 games behind the Phillies. They have a 16-13 record in divisional matchups but have lost three straight games and are 3-7 in their last ten. The Nationals are currently losing their series vs. the Mets, with an overall series record of 11-16-2.

On the road, the Nationals are 22-26 straight up and 28-20 against the run line. As underdogs, they are 44-31 vs. the run line, but as favorites, they are 8-9. The O/U line for today’s game is 9 runs, and their O/U record in games with a 9-run line is 5-7-2. So far this season, the O/U line has been set at 9 runs in 17.4% of their games.

Patrick Corbin Gets The Start For The Nationals

Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets on the road. This year, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 1-8 with an ERA of 5.49. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is 1.53, and he has turned in four quality starts. In his most recent outing, Corbin finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Corbin has allowed a total of 14 home runs this year.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 19th in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They have also been a below-average home run hitting team and have the 11th best batting average in the league. The Nationals have a few hitters on nice streaks right now, with Keibert Ruiz and Juan Yepez on streaks of four and five games, respectively.

CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as his 14 homers is the best mark on the team and 13th in the league. He is also hitting a solid .276. Luis Garcia Jr. has been hot of late, going 12/23 in his last six games, with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is also batting .277 with 10 homers.

When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game in their victories. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Their run line record is 42-48 overall, and they are 24-19 against the run line on the road. The Mets have an over/under record of 4-4-3 when the total is set at 9 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.

New York is 3rd in the NL East, 13.5 games behind the Phillies, with a 45-45 record. They have a 26-23 record as the favorite and have won three straight games in that role. The Mets lead the series vs. the Nationals after winning the last game.

Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today vs. the Nationals and comes into the game with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 3.83. So far this season, he has made 17 starts, seven of which were quality starts. In his last outing, Severino took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Pirates. Before that, he had not allowed a run in two straight starts. Opponents are batting .227 off Severino this season, and his WHIP is currently 1.20. For the year, he has allowed 12 home runs and is averaging 6.71 strikeouts per nine innings.

Mets Offense Breakdown

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As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is good for 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in the league in home runs and have the 7th best team batting average in the MLB. New York also comes into the game with a collective OPS of .734, which is the 6th best mark in the league.

Brandon Nimmo has been hot of late for the Mets, going 7/20 in his last five games with two homers and six RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .252, and he is leading the team in RBIs with 58. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are also near the top of the Mets’ home run and RBI leaderboards.

Nationals vs Mets Prediction

Our prediction for this National League East matchup is for the Mets to come away with a 6-5 win. However, we don’t see a ton of value in taking the Mets on the money line at -192. Instead, we recommend taking the over, as there is an over/under line of 9 runs, and we have this game going over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Luis Severino finishing with five strikeouts, which is 16th among starters. As for Patrick Corbin, we have him finishing with four K’s, which is tied for the fourth fewest.

If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look at the Mets’ home run total, as we have them finishing with the second most in the league today.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.