The Washington Nationals (68-81) travel to face off against the New York Mets (81-68) on Monday, September 16th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on MLBN. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Nationals vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-182)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Mets have won 6 of their last 8 home games.
- The Mets have outscored their opponents 39-19 in their last 8 home games.
- The Mets have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, compared to the Nationals’ 6-4 record.
- The Mets have won 3 out of 4 head-to-head matchups against the Nationals at home this season.
- The Mets have scored 4 or more runs in 10 of their last 15 games.
Nationals vs Mets
The Nationals Are Coming Off A Win
Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Nationals closed out the series with a 4-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -177. Offensively, the Nationals scored their four runs on eight hits and only hit two home runs. James Wood went 2/3 with two homers, going back-to-back in thejson 2nd inning.
MacKenzie Gore got the start for the Nationals, going six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Marlins batters. Washington’s bullpen almost gave up the lead, as the Marlins scored three runs in the top of the 9th, but Jose Ferrer was able to close things out and earned the save.
Washington has a 68-81 record and is 23-23 in divisional matchups this season. They are 4th in the NL East, 22 games behind the Phillies.
On the run line, the Nationals are 83-66 overall and 70-51 as underdogs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs, and the over has hit in 16 of 25 games with a 7.5 run total line.
Jake Irvin Gets The Start For The Nationals
Right-hander Jake Irvin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 10-12 with an ERA of 4.19. One of Irvin’s better outings came in his most recent start, where he went six innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. In that outing, he gave up just two hits and one homer. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. Irvin’s WHIP for the season is 1.19, and opponents are batting .240 off him this year.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team slugging percentage of just .379. However, they do have a team batting average of .244 and have done a good job of putting the ball in play, as they have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Washington’s top two home run hitters are CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr., who also have the top two RBI totals on the team. Abrams is batting just .239 this season, but he does have 20 homers. Garcia Jr. has a better average at .282 and has 16 homers. Over his last six games, James Wood is 6/22 with two homers, and Jose Tena has gone 8/23 with a homer over that stretch.
The Mets Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with a 2-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Phillies scored a run in the bottom of the 8th. New York was the +114 underdog on the road going into this game.
David Peterson put together a good start for the Mets, going 7 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Mets couldn’t close things out, and Edwin Diaz took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mets also wasted a big game from Tyrone Taylor, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/3.
As the underdog, the Mets have a 28-31 record this season, and they are currently nine games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Mets lost the last two games of their series vs. the Phillies, resulting in a 2-1 series loss. Their overall series record is 25-17-8 heading into today’s game vs. the Nationals.
This season, Mets games have averaged 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 74-70. Against the run line, they are 75-74, with a 42-33 record on the road. Today’s O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their usual line of 7.5 runs.
Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets
Sean Manaea has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 11-5 with an ERA of 3.35. He has made 13 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.38 strikeouts per nine innings. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10. In his last outing, Manaea finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on eight hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The left-hander has been solid on the road, going 6-2 with a 3.12 ERA compared to 5-3 with a 4.50 ERA at home.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s 32 homers is 8th in the league and Lindor is 9th in the MLB with 31 home runs. Lindor comes into the game batting .271 and is on a four-game hitting streak. Over his last 10 games, Alonso is batting .231, but he does have two homers in this stretch.
Overall, the Mets are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .247, which is 11th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in isolated power.
Nationals vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for this Mets and Nationals matchup is that the Mets will come out on top by a score of 5-4. However, given the payout for a Mets win is -182, we are recommending taking the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Sean Manaea finishing with five strikeouts compared to Jake Irvin with five as well. Manaea is also predicted to go deeper into the game, finishing with six innings compared to Irvin with five.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 16, 2024 Mets, Nationals