The Washington Nationals (68-83) travel to face off against the New York Mets (83-68) on Wednesday, September 18th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on MASN. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Nationals vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-170)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Mets have won 6 of their last 8 home games.
- The Mets have outscored the Nationals 12-2 in their last two head-to-head games.
- The Mets have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
- The Mets have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, while the Nationals are 5-5.
- The Mets have a better overall home record (42-34) compared to the Nationals’ away record (32-44).
Nationals vs Mets
New York cruised to a 10-1 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their ten runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -171 on the money line.
Tylor Megill pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Mitchell Parker took the loss for the Nationals, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.
Pete Alonso and Luisangel Acuna each homered for the Mets. Alonso, Jose Iglesias, and Tyrone Taylor each had two RBIs. Francisco Alvarez scored twice for New York and drove in a run.
Washington has an 84-67 run line record this season, including a 44-32 mark on the road. However, they have failed to cover in their last game. The Nationals are 15-13 when favored and 53-70 as the underdog. Their overall series record this season is 19-22-6.
The Nationals are currently on a two-game losing streak and have a 68-83 overall record, placing them 4th in the NL East, 23 games behind the Phillies. This season, the over/under record for Nationals games with a total line of 7.5 runs is 17-10.
DJ Herz Gets The Start For The Nationals
Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he comes in with a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 3.70. So far this year, Herz has made 17 starts, and he has pitched well on the road, coming in with a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 4.13. In his last outing, Herz picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run vs. the Marlins. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One area of concern for Herz is that he has allowed 11 homers at home and 3 on the road. Herz’s WHIP for the season is 1.21.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 11th in the league, and are 5th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game. Washington’s offense has been led by CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr., who are tied for the team lead with 65 RBIs. Abrams also leads the team with 20 homers, and Garcia Jr. is batting .280.
Over his last five games, Dylan Crews has gone 5/20, while James Wood has two homers in this stretch but is just 4/19. Crews and Wood have just one and three RBIs, respectively, in their last five games. Both Lane Thomas and CJ Abrams are currently on three-game hitting streaks.
As the favorite, the Mets have a 55-37 record, but they are 28-31 as the underdog. Their overall series record this season is 25-17-8. The Mets have a +0.5 run margin per game, with an over/under record of 75-68-3 this season.
New York is currently 83-68 overall, sitting eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They have won two straight games after a four-game losing streak. The Mets have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games. This season, their games have averaged 8 runs per game.
Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today vs. the Nationals and is coming off a great outing. In his most recent start, Quintana went seven innings and didn’t give up a run. He only gave up four hits in that outing. Looking back over his last three starts, Quintana has picked up the win in each outing. His record for the season is 9-9, and he has an ERA of 3.91. Opponents are batting .237 off Quintana this season. Overall, he has made 29 appearances, 11 of which were quality starts. Per nine innings, Quintana is averaging 6.91 strikeouts and 3.34 walks.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso come into the game as the Mets’ top power threats, as they are 2nd and 1st on the team in home runs, respectively. Lindor has gone deep 31 times this season, which is 11th in the league, while Alonso’s 33 homers is 9th best in the MLB. Lindor is also the team’s top hitter in terms of RBIs, with 86, and Alonso has driven in 86 runs as well. Over his last eight games, Lindor has gone 6/25 with three homers, while Jose Iglesias has been hot, hitting .433 over that stretch.
As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in the league in home runs and are batting a collective .248.
Nationals vs Mets Prediction
We see the Mets coming away with a 5-4 win in this one, and with the money line sitting at -170, we actually like the over, with the line being at 7.5 runs. Our prediction is that there will be a combined nine runs scored, giving you some room if you want to take the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have the Nationals’ starter, DJ Herz, finishing with more strikeouts than the Mets’ starter, Jose Quintana. However, Quintana is projected to finish with a respectable four K’s, and Herz is projected to finish with eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 18, 2024 Mets, Nationals