The Washington Nationals (38-39) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (41-41) on Monday, June 24th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on MASN. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.
Nationals vs Padres
The Nationals’s offense was carried by Jacob Young in their most recent game vs. the Rockies. Young went 2/3 with a run scored and a stolen base. Washington’s offense scored their only two runs in the 9th inning to pick up the 2-1 win. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the slight favorite at -134 on the money line.
Jake Irvin put together a good start for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out 10. However, he didn’t get the win, as Washington’s offense didn’t score their first run until the 9th.
Washington is 38-39 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the NL East, 13.0 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone 14-10 in NL East matchups. The Nationals are playing on the road today, and they are 21-20 as the road underdog this season.
The Nationals have been playing well of late, going 6-4 across their last 10 games. This includes winning their most recent series, taking two of three from the Rockies. So far, the Nationals have been good as the underdog, coming in with an overall mark of 30-33.
The Nationals have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 46-31 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 26-15 against the run line. They have been an underdog in most of those games, going 39-24 against the run line as the underdog.
The Washington Nationals are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season. The Nationals have an over/under record of 34-40 this season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 11-14. So far this season, 31.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or lower.
Patrick Corbin Gets The Start For The Nationals
Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 1-7 with an ERA of 5.60. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.60. Looking at his overall numbers, Corbin has turned in three quality starts this year and is averaging 6.04 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Corbin finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. He issued three walks in that outing. Corbin has not won a game since May 12th.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense comes into today’s game averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .236. The team’s collective on-base percentage of .304 is also below the league average.
CJ Abrams has been a bright spot for the Nationals this season, as he is batting .270 with a team-high 12 home runs and 39 RBIs. Jesse Winker and Lane Thomas are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with 8 homers apiece. Over his last five games, Winker has gone 3/13 with two homers.
Led by a big game by Luis Arraez at the plate, the Padres are coming off a 6-2 loss to the Brewers to close out their series. Arraez went 2/4 with a run scored and an RBI. The Padres really missed out on a big opportunity, as the Brewers scored five runs in the 2nd inning to take the lead. San Diego was the -139 favorite at home going into the game.
Michael King started for the Padres, going six innings and taking the loss. He gave up five earned runs on nine hits and issued one walk. The Padres only had two fewer hits than the Brewers but scored just two runs. Both of their runs came in the 5th inning.
San Diego will host the Nationals today with an overall record of 41-41, and they are 8.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. This season, the Padres are 14-15 in divisional matchups. The Padres closed out their series vs. the Brewers with three straight wins, and they are 4-6 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Padres are 21-22 this season and have gone 20-19 on the road. As the favorite, San Diego has put together a mark of 26-24, and they are 15-17 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 14-10-3.
San Diego has been a good run line bet on the road this season, going 27-12. The Padres’ overall run line record is 42-40, and their average run margin is +0.2. They have been a better run line bet as an underdog, going 22-10, compared to 20-30 as a favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while it’s -3.3 in losses.
San Diego is back home and the over/under line for their game against the Nationals is set at 8.5 runs. The Padres have gone over the total in four straight games and have an over/under record of 42-39 on the season. Their games have had an average of 8.8 runs per game, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total 10 times and under 11 times. Overall, 58.5% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Matt Waldron Gets The Start For The Padres
Through 15 starts, Matt Waldron has a record of 5-6 and an ERA of 3.46. This season, he has made six quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he only gave up one earned run. In that start against the Phillies, he pitched seven innings and came away with the win. Looking back at his last three outings, Waldron has traded wins and losses. Before the Phillies outing, he had given up two earned runs in back-to-back starts. Waldron’s ERA at home is 4.92 compared to 3.86 on the road.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego’s offense comes into the game as one of the league’s top-scoring teams, averaging 4.5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. The Padres have been one of the league’s best home run hitting teams this season and also have the 2nd best team batting average in the MLB.
Over the past seven games, Jackson Merrill has been on fire for the Padres, going 9/25 with three homers and six RBIs. Manny Machado has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/28 with a home run and five RBIs. Both players come into the game on solid hitting streaks, with Merrill having a five-game streak and Machado having hit safely in seven straight games.
Nationals vs Padres Prediction
Our predicted score for this game is a 5-4 win for the Padres, which would make taking them on the money line a good option. However, with a payout of -221, we actually like the over at 8.5 runs as our top pick.
If you’re looking for a potential payout, we see that the Nationals and Patrick Corbin are paying out at +183. However, our projections have Corbin finishing with just four strikeouts and giving up six hits, so we would stay away from this one.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 28, 2024 Nationals, Padres