New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 6/22/2024

The New York Mets (36-38) travel to face off against the Chicago Cubs (36-40) on Saturday, June 22nd. This game will be played at Wrigley Field in Chicago and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cubs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 1:20  CT.

Mets vs Cubs

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New York cruised to an easy 11-1 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 4th inning, scoring all 11 of their runs. As for the Cubs, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +129 on the money line.

Jose Quintana pitched well for the Mets in this one, going 6 1/3 innings and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Shota Imanaga had a rough outing for the Cubs, taking the loss.

At the plate, J.D. Martinez and Brandon Nimmo each homered for the Mets. Martinez, Francisco Alvarez, Jose Iglesias, and Francisco Lindor each had three RBIs.

The Mets are 36-38 overall, and they are 12.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. This season, they have gone 11-10 in divisional games. New York is on the road today, taking on the Cubs, and they are 8-2 over their last ten games. At home, the Mets are 18-23 and have gone 18-15 on the road.

So far, the Mets have been favored in 38 of their games, and they are 20-18 in those games. They have also been the underdog 36 times, and their record is 16-20 in those games. New York has won four straight series, and they are 11-12-3 in series this year.

When it comes to betting the Mets on the run line, it’s been a mixed bag this season. They’ve played to a 34-40 run line record overall, but they’ve been much better on the road, where they are 20-13 against the run line. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 21-15 against the run line, compared to 13-25 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.3, while it’s -3.1 in losing games.

When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is usually set much lower than 12 runs. In fact, the average over/under line for their games this season has been just 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 38-34. However, they have not had a single game this season with an over/under line of 12 runs, and 100% of their games have had lower lines than that.

Tylor Megill Gets The Start For The Mets

New York starter Tylor Megill will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Padres on June 16th, he went five innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Megill has made six starts and has a record of 2-3. His ERA for the season is 3.52, along with a WHIP of 1.30. Opponents are batting .218 off Megill this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.86 strikeouts and 3.82 walks.

Mets Offense Breakdown

When it comes to home runs, the Mets have been one of the league’s best lineups this season, and they have three players who have been among the best in the league in terms of home runs. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are tied for the team lead with 16 homers, which is 8th in the league, and Francisco Lindor isn’t far behind with 12 homers. Alonso and Nimmo have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Nimmo hitting .389 over his last nine games and Alonso batting .353 over his last 10.

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. However, they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .248, which is 9th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .319 is also 8th in the MLB.

Chicago is 36-40 overall and trails the Brewers by eight games in the NL Central. Currently, they are 5th in the division and are 9-17 against other NL Central teams. The Cubs will be hosting the Mets today with an overall home record of 21-17.

So far, the Cubs have gone 15-23 on the road. As the favorite, the Cubs are 19-18 this year and 17-22 as the underdog. Chicago’s overall series record is 9-13-2, and they have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When betting the run line in Cubs games, it’s been a good idea to take the underdog. Chicago is 26-13 against the run line as the underdog, but just 10-27 as the favorite. The Cubs’ average run differential in their wins is +2.9, while it’s -3.2 in their losses.

Chicago Cubs games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-40. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. The over has hit in two straight games, but this is the first time this season that their over/under line has been set at 12 runs. In the 76 games they’ve played, the over/under line has been set below 12 runs every time.

Jameson Taillon Gets The Start For The Cubs

Chicago will be starting right-hander Jameson Taillon vs. the Mets today. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 3-3 with a 3.08 ERA. Taillon’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32. In his 11 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 6.31 strikeouts per nine innings. Taillon most recently faced the Cardinals, where he took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

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Chicago’s offense has been pretty inconsistent this season, as they are just 19th in runs per game at 4.2. This is also the 16th ranked home run hitting team in the league, and they are batting just .229 as a team. One thing they have done well is draw walks, as a team, they are 4th in the league in that category.

Christopher Morel leads the Cubs in home runs this season, but he is batting just .198. Cody Bellinger and Ian Happ have been two of the team’s better hitters, with Bellinger coming in with a batting average of .268 and Happ at .235. Bellinger has gone 12/38 in his last 10 games, and Happ has gone 10/30 with three homers in his last nine games.

Mets vs Cubs Prediction

Our predicted score for this one is a 5-4 win for the Mets, and with them on the money line at -101, we see this as a great value pick. In terms of the over/under, we would take the under, as there is a lot of room between our predicted score and the line sitting at 12 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tylor Megill is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and we have Jameson Taillon finishing with five as well. Taillon is predicted to go seven innings, while Megill is projected to go six.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.