New York Mets vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction 5/17/2024

The New York Mets (20-23) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (13-32) on Friday, May 17th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on SNY. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Mets vs Marlins

new york mets nba

Pete Alonso and the Mets are coming off a game in which they picked up a 6-5 win over the Phillies. Alonso was only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and the Mets scored two more runs in the 2nd inning. New York was the +121 underdog going into this road game.

Jorge Lopez got the start for the Mets, going 5 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He gave up just two runs on four hits and issued only one walk. The Mets’ bullpen was a little shaky, as the Phillies scored two runs in the 8th to tie things up. However, Jake Diekman was able to close things out in the 9th, and the Mets picked up the win.

The Mets are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 10 games. Overall, the Mets are 20-23 as they get set to take on the Marlins on the road. New York is 4-6 against other NL East teams this year.

At home, the Mets are just 10-14 this year, but they have been better on the road at 10-9. So far, they have gone 11-10 as the favorite and 9-13 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 6-7-2, and they are looking to snap a two-series home losing streak.

When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run differential of 3.0 runs per game. However, they’ve been outscored by 0.2 runs per game overall this season. They’ve been a good team to bet on the run line with, as they’re 20-23 overall, including 12-7 on the road. They’re 8-16 on the run line at home, where their average run differential is -0.4 runs per game.

The Mets have had a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 21-22. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line is set at 7.5 runs, they are 5-7 on the over/under. In their last 10 games, the over has hit in 6 of them, and their games have had an average of 8.9 runs scored per game.

Christian Scott Gets The Start For The Mets

Christian Scott is getting the start for the Mets on the road against the Marlins. Scott has started two games this season, taking a loss in his last outing vs. the Braves. In that game, he went 6 innings, giving up 3 earned runs and 8 strikeouts. In his season debut, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up just 1 run vs. the Rays.

Mets Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Mets have been a much better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per game compared to just 3.3 runs per game at home. Overall, they are 18th in the league at 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .232, which is 18th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .306 is also below average.

Brandon Nimmo comes into the game as the Mets’ top home run hitter, but he is batting just .215 for the season and has gone just 5/27 in his last eight games. Pete Alonso has been swinging the bat well of late, going 10/33 in his last nine games, and he is also 4th in the league with 10 home runs. Francisco Lindor and Alonso are 2nd and 3rd on the team in RBIs, but both are batting below .200 for the season.

Bryan De La Cruz was the hero for the Marlins in their most recent game vs. the Tigers, going 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Marlins really needed his offense, as they only scored two runs in the 2-0 win. Miami was the +141 underdog going into this road game.

Trevor Rogers started for the Marlins, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out six Tigers batters. Miami’s bullpen was also excellent, as Tanner Scott closed things out in the 9th with the save.

Miami is hosting the Mets today with an overall record of 13-32, which has them 5th in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled vs. other NL East teams, going 2-11. The Marlins are 18 games behind the Phillies for the division lead.

The Marlins have won two straight games, and this came after taking the final two games of their series vs. the Tigers. Miami’s overall series record is 2-11-1 this year. As the underdog, the Marlins are 10-21 this year, which includes having won two straight as the underdog. They are 3-6 as the home underdog and 3-11 when favored.

Despite a run line record of 15-30, the Marlins have been a profitable bet on the run line in their last four games as the underdog. They have covered the run line in 14 of 31 games as the underdog this season. The Marlins have been outscored by an average of 1.9 runs per game this season. They have been outscored by an average of 2.3 runs per game at home, where they are 5-18 on the run line.

When the Marlins have played games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 6 of 8 games. On the season, their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 26-19. They have played 35 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which is 77.8% of their games. Their under streak is currently at 2 games.

Jesús Luzardo Gets The Start For The Marlins

Jesús Luzardo gets the start for the Marlins today and is looking to pick up his first win of the season. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 0-3 with an ERA of 5.97. Luzardo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.33. The left-hander has made one quality start this year and is coming off a rough outing against the Phillies, where he gave up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Luzardo has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

Marlins left fielder Bryan De La Cruz has been a bright spot in an otherwise struggling Miami lineup, as he comes into the game with a team-high nine homers and a batting average of .256. De La Cruz has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/39 in his last 10 games with three homers. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/39 in his last 10 games.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .225 and have the league’s worst isolated power number.

Mets vs Marlins Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, with the payout sitting at +101. We have the Marlins winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

If you’re looking for a prediction on the starting pitchers, we have Jesús Luzardo finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him as the third-best starter in terms of Ks. As for Christian Scott, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him as the ninth best among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.