The New York Mets (50-47) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (34-64) on Sunday, July 21st. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.
Mets vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-150)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Mets have won 7 out of their last 10 games.
- The Mets have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
- The Mets have a winning record on the road with 24 wins and 21 losses.
- The Mets have won 4 out of their last 5 games against the Marlins.
- The Marlins have lost 6 out of their last 10 games.
Mets vs Marlins
New York picked up a 1-0 road win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had just one more hit than the Marlins and struck out nine times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -165 on the money line.
Luis Severino started for the Mets and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued three walks. Edwin DÃaz closed things out for New York.
Roddery Muñoz got the start for Miami and took the loss, giving up just one earned run in five innings of work. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks.
Overall, the Mets have a 50-47 record and are 11.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have won two straight series. Against the run line, the Mets are 45-52 and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season.
As favorites, the Mets are 31-25 straight up, but as underdogs, they are 19-22. Their series record this season is 15-12-5, and they are 24-21 on the road. Today, they are closing out their series with the Marlins on the road.
Christian Scott Gets The Start For The Mets
New York is sending right-hander Christian Scott to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made eight starts this year and has yet to pick up a win, going 0-2 with a 4.36 ERA. Scott has made three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. In that start vs. the Rockies, he gave up seven hits and issued two walks. Scott has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. Per nine innings, he has 7.27 strikeouts and just 2.08 walks.
Mets Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, the Mets are the league’s 5th ranked home run hitting team and have a team batting average of .249, which is 7th in the MLB.
Over his last five games, Jose Iglesias is batting .600 with two home runs and has a five-game hitting streak. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are the Mets’ top two home run hitters this season, with 19 and 17 homers, respectively. Alonso comes into the game batting just .239, while Lindor is at .254 for the season.
As underdogs, the Marlins are 30-51, but they have a 42-39 record against the run line. Miami’s games have gone over the total 54.2% of the time this season, with a 16-15 O/U record when the line is set at 8.5 runs.
Miami is 34-64 overall and 19-32 at home. They are 5th in the NL East, 28 games behind the Phillies. The Marlins have lost two straight series and have a 7-21-2 series record this year.
Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins
The Marlins are sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Mets. Rogers has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 1-9 with an ERA of 4.72. So far, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 7.46 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Rogers went 5 2/3 innings and gave up two earned runs, coming away with a no-decision. He has finished with a no-decision in three of his last four outings. Opponents are batting .269 off Rogers this season.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. Miami’s offense has been especially bad in terms of power, as they are last in the league in home runs and have the worst team ISO in the MLB. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .233.
Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are the Marlins’ top home run hitters for the season, with 16 and 12 homers, respectively. De La Cruz comes into the game batting .237, while Chisholm Jr. is hitting .248. Jake Burger has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/20 in his last five games, with two homers and six RBIs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak heading into the game.
Mets vs Marlins Prediction
Looking at today’s Mets vs. Marlins matchup, we see the Mets coming out on top with a final score of 5-4. Given that they are on the money line at -150, this is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Christian Scott finishing with eight strikeouts compared to Trevor Rogers with six. We have Scott finishing with the most strikeouts of any starter today.
Offensively, the Mets lineup is projected to hit two more home runs than the Marlins, with the Marlins finishing with more hits. However, the Marlins are projected to finish with just eight strikeouts compared to the Mets with 10.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Mets with a team with a higher payout, as the Marlins are at +127.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 21, 2024 Marlins, Mets