The New York Mets (89-73) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (93-69) on Thursday, October 3rd. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on ESPN. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 6:08 CT.
Mets vs. Brewers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Brewers (-121)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 home games against the Mets, showcasing a strong home-field advantage in this matchup.
- In their last 15 games, the Brewers have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, indicating a potent offense.
- The Brewers have a home record of 47-34, which ranks them among the top teams in home performance in the league.
- Milwaukee has a better overall record than the Mets, with 93 wins compared to the Mets’ 89 wins, indicating stronger season-long performance.
- The Brewers have a division-leading record of 32-20 against NL Central opponents, showcasing their ability to perform well within their division.
Mets vs Brewers
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets and Brewers series. New York went into the matchup as +109 underdogs and lost by a score of 5-3. Milwaukee’s offense only had three more hits than the Mets and struck out five more times.
Mets starter Sean Manaea only went five innings but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. However, he didn’t receive any run support as the Mets offense only mustered three hits in the game. Frankie Montas only went 3 2/3 innings for the Brewers but gave up just one hit and one earned run.
After the Mets took a 1-0 lead in the first inning, the Brewers responded with one run in the bottom half of the first and didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 8th. As for the Mets, they scored their final run in the 5th.
Facing a must-win game three in their Wild Card series against Milwaukee, the Mets are on the road, where they went 43-38 during the regular season, compared to a 46-35 mark at home. As favorites, New York posted a 59-39 record this year, while they went 31-35 as underdogs.
New York finished the regular season with an 83-81 run line record, including 45-38 on the road. As underdogs, they went 38-28 against the run line. The Mets’ games averaged 9.1 runs this season, and their over/under record is 83-76. The over has hit in their last two games.
Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Brewers. Quintana has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 10-10 with a 3.75 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Quintana has a WHIP of 1.25 and has issued 3.33 walks per nine innings compared to 7.13 strikeouts. He has turned in 12 quality starts this year. In his last outing, Quintana took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has done most of his damage on the road, coming in with a record of 5-5 and 4.86 on the road compared to 5-5 and 4.15 at home.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s 34 homers are the best on the team and 10th in the league, and Lindor is right behind him with 33. Lindor is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 91. However, he has struggled a bit of late, going just 4/19 in his last five games.
Overall, the Mets have been a good offensive team this season, as they are 7th in runs per game (4.7) and have the 6th most homers in the league. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 8th in the league, and are 8th in on-base percentage and slugging.
With their series against the Mets tied at 1-1, the Brewers are looking to secure a win in game three of their NL Wild Card matchup. Milwaukee posted a 93-69 regular season record, going 47-34 at home and 46-35 on the road. As home favorites, they went 36-22 this year.
Milwaukee finished the season with a run line record of 83-81, including 38-45 at home. As favorites, they went 37-57 against the run line. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 total runs this season, while today’s over/under is set at 7.5 runs. Their over/under record is 83-71, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Tobias Myers Gets The Start For The Brewers
Tobias Myers is getting the start for the Brewers today and has made 25 starts this season. He most recently pitched out of the bullpen, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went four innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking back at his last three starts, Myers has finished with a no-decision, a loss, and a win. His record for the season is 9-6, and he has an ERA of 3.00. Opponents are batting .235 off Myers this season, and his WHIP is 1.17. For the year, he has allowed 18 home runs and is averaging 8.28 strikeouts per nine innings.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in team batting average, hitting a collective .248. The Brewers are also one of the best teams in terms of drawing walks and have the league’s 4th best on-base percentage.
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Contreras hitting 23 homers and Adames leading the team with 32 homers. Adames’ 112 RBIs are the 4th most in the league. Rhys Hoskins has also been a solid power threat, with 26 homers, but he is batting just .214 for the season.
Mets vs Brewers Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -121. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the Brewers predicted to win and a payout of -121, this is the bet we recommend.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jose Quintana going six innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Tobias Myers, we also have him going six innings and ending the game with five K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:October 3, 2024 Brewers, Mets