The New York Mets (87-70) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (91-68) on Friday, September 27th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on SNY. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.
Mets vs. Brewers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Brewers (+101)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- Brewers have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
- Brewers have a home record of 45-33, indicating strong performance at home.
- Brewers have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
- Brewers have a league rank of 3rd in the NL, while the Mets are ranked 6th.
- Brewers have won 4 out of their last 5 games against the Mets this season.
Mets vs Brewers
The Brewers Took The Last Game Of This Series
New York closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 5-1 loss on the road. The Mets were the +123 underdog going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Mets, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Braves scored three times in the bottom of the first.
Luis Severino had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on seven hits and issuing a walk. The Mets also wasted a big game from Mark Vientos, who homered in the 1st inning but went just 2/4.
As the favorite, the Mets have a 58-37 record this season, but they are 29-33 as the underdog. They have won six straight games as the favorite and are 80-77 against the run line overall. Their average run margin for the season is +0.5 runs per game, and they have been outscoring opponents by 0.4 runs per game on the road.
New York is 87-70 overall and in 2nd place in the NL East, six games behind the Phillies. Their over/under record for the season is 79-73, and the average run total in their games is 9.1 runs. The total for today’s game vs. the Brewers is set at 7.5 runs, and their O/U record in games with that line is 21-17.
Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets
Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 12-5 with an ERA of 3.29. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had turned in three straight outings with just one earned run allowed. Manaea has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.25 strikeouts and 3.08 walks.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Over his last eight games, Jose Iglesias has been on fire for the Mets, going 15/34 (.441) with seven runs scored. He also has a four-game hitting streak coming into today’s game. Luisangel Acuña has also been hot of late, going 10/25 with three homers in his last eight games. Francisco Alvarez and Brandon Nimmo have each hit three homers in their last seven games, but both are batting under .240 during that stretch.
As a team, the Mets are 7th in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 10th best team batting average. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are the team’s top home run hitters, with 34 and 31 homers, respectively.
The Brewers Are Coming Off A Win
Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the Pirates with a 5-2 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -120 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning for the Brewers, as they scored their three runs in the inning, and the Pirates could only score two runs, both of which came in the 7th.
Aaron Civale put together a good start for the Brewers, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Pirates batters. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Joey Ortiz, who went 3/3 with a double, run scored, and a stolen base.
This season, the Brewers have a 29-18-4 series record and have won five straight series on the road. They are 91-68 overall and lead the NL Central by 10 games over the Cardinals. Milwaukee’s average run margin in winning games is 3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.9.
As underdogs, the Brewers have a 44-23 run line record, but as favorites, they are 36-56. The over/under record for their games this season is 80-69, with the over hitting in two straight games. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, lower than their season average of 8.8 runs per game.
Frankie Montas Gets The Start For The Brewers
Frankie Montas will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Diamondbacks, where he gave up seven earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Looking back over his last four starts, Montas has allowed at least one homer in each outing. Montas’ ERA for the season is 4.85, along with a record of 7-11. Out of his 29 starts, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.71 strikeouts per nine innings. Montas has a much better record on the road, going 6-4 with a 5.85 ERA compared to 1-7 with a 6.67 ERA at home.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, the Brewers are 8th in batting average and have the 3rd best OBP in the league. Milwaukee is also 12th in slugging percentage and have the 8th best OPS in the league.
Willy Adames has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 home runs are the 10th most in the league. He is also 4th in the league in RBIs, with 111. Adames comes into the game on a 4-game hitting streak and has gone 8/24 in his last six games. William Contreras has also been a key run producer for the Brewers, as his 92 RBIs is the 2nd most on the team.
Mets vs Brewers Prediction
With the Brewers at +101 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Brewers, giving us a lot of room to work with on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Frankie Montas is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have him finishing with seven more than Sean Manaea, who is projected to finish with seven. We also have Montas finishing with a better ERA than Manaea.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 27, 2024 Brewers, Mets