The New York Mets (87-71) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (92-68) on Saturday, September 28th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on FOX. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.

Mets vs. Brewers Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Brewers (-121)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs

• In their last 15 games, the Brewers have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, showcasing strong offensive performance.
• The Brewers have won 5 of their last 7 home games, indicating a strong home-field advantage.
• Milwaukee has a league rank of 3rd in the National League, compared to the Mets’ 6th, suggesting overall better performance.
• The Brewers have a recent winning streak of 2 games, while the Mets have lost their last 2 games, indicating better current form.
• In head-to-head matchups this season, the Brewers have won all 3 games against the Mets, outscoring them 14-8.

Mets vs Brewers

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Mets by a score of 8-4. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Mets and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -103 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Sean Manaea for the Mets and Frankie Montas for the Brewers. Manaea only went 3 2/3 innings while giving up five runs and took the loss. Montas pitched well, going four innings and giving up just two hits.

Milwaukee’s two homers came from Rhys Hoskins and Gary Sanchez. Hoskins, Brice Turang, and Mark Vientos each had three RBIs for the Brewers’ offense.

Currently, the Mets are 87-71 and trail the Phillies by six games in the NL East. They have a 29-21 record against divisional opponents. New York’s overall series record is 28-18-8, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

On the run line, the Mets are 42-35 on the road and 36-26 as underdogs. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs this season, resulting in an 80-73 over/under record. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 15-9-1, and 51.3% of their games have had higher O/U lines.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and comes into the game with a record of 10-9 and an ERA of 3.74. So far, he has made 30 starts and 12 of them have been quality starts. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is 1.24, and he is averaging 6.83 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Quintana was excellent, going seven innings and picking up the win. He didn’t give up a run in the outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The last time he gave up a run was on August 31st.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been a big part of the Mets’ offense this season, as Alonso leads the team with 88 RBIs and is 2nd in the MLB with 34 homers. Lindor is hitting .273 for the season and has 31 homers, which is 11th best in the league. Lindor is also on a five-game hitting streak. Over his last eight games, Mark Vientos has three homers and is 8/31, while Luisangel Acuña has also gone deep three times in his last seven games, batting .400.

As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league at 4.8 runs per game and are also 5th in home runs. Overall, they are batting .247 and have the 8th best slugging percentage in the league. New York’s offense has been good at home and on the road this season, averaging 4.7 and 4.8 runs per game, respectively.

When the total has been set at 8 runs or higher, the over has hit in 52.5% of Milwaukee’s games this season. Their overall over/under record is 81-69. Against the run line, they are 45-36 on the road and 36-43 at home. As underdogs, they have a 45-23 run line record, but as favorites, they are 36-56.

Milwaukee has a 92-68 record and is ten games ahead of the Cardinals in the NL Central. They have won two straight games and lead the Mets 1-0 in their current series. The Brewers have won five straight series on the road and have a 29-18-4 series record this season.

Jared Koenig Gets The Start For The Brewers

Jared Koenig is getting the start for the Brewers today and has made 54 appearances out of the bullpen this season. He has a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 2.51. Koenig’s WHIP for the season is 1.25, and he is averaging 3.39 walks per nine innings compared to 9 strikeouts. The last time he pitched was on September 26th, where he went one inning out of the bullpen, giving up one hit and one earned run. Before that outing, he had a streak of three straight appearances without giving up a run.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in team batting average at .249 and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the MLB. Milwaukee has also been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, but they are just 12th in home runs.

Willy Adames and William Contreras have been the Brewers’ top power hitters this season, with Adames leading the team with 32 homers and Contreras right behind him at 23. Adames’ 111 RBIs is 4th best in the league. Rhys Hoskins is also a power threat, but he is batting just .215 this season. However, he is on a three-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last seven games.

Mets vs Brewers Prediction

Our prediction for this Mets vs. Brewers matchup is that the Brewers will pick up the win at home by a score of 7-6. With the Brewers being given a money line of -121, this is the best way to play this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Jared Koenig is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is fifth best among today’s starters. As for Jose Quintana, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is towards the bottom of the list.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.