New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 5/6/2024

The New York Mets (16-18) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (15-19) on Monday, May 6th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on SNY. Both the Mets and Cardinals are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:45 ET.

Mets vs Cardinals

new york mets nba

The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 7-6 loss. New York was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Rays scored three times in the 2nd.

Luis Severino took the loss for the Mets, going only five innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. Francisco Lindor had a big game at the plate, going 2/6 with a homer and two RBIs. The Mets scored a run in the 10th to tie things up but gave up the lead right away as the Rays scored in the bottom of the 10th.

After dropping the final game of their series vs. the Rays, the Mets have dropped three straight games. Currently, they are 4th in the NL East, 7.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Mets are 16-18 this season, and they are 3-7 across their last 10 games.

So far, the Mets have gone 9-10 at home compared to 7-8 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets’ longest losing streak is seven games, and they are 5-7 as the road underdog this year. Their overall series record is 5-5-1 this season.

When the Mets are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 9-6 in that department. They have a run differential of +0.2 runs per game on the road, and their average run differential in wins is +3.4 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line for the New York Mets game against the St. Louis Cardinals is set at 8 runs. The Mets have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 17-17. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Mets have a record of 3-2. So far this season, 41.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher.

Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets

The Mets are sending left-hander Sean Manaea to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 3.07. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.43. Looking at his overall numbers, Manaea has made one quality start this year and is coming off an outing where he allowed just one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Manaea has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.2 strikeouts and 5.52 walks.

Mets Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per game. New York is also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in 11th in the league and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.

Brandon Nimmo has been one of the Mets’ best hitters this season, leading the team in RBIs and is 8th in the league in home runs. He is also batting .221 this season. Pete Alonso is 3rd in the league with 8 homers but is batting just .206. However, he has driven in 16 runs. Francisco Lindor is also near the top of the league in homers, but he is hitting just .207.

Heading into their last game vs. the White Sox, the Cardinals closed out the series with a 5-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the White Sox scored four runs in the top of the 4th. St. Louis was the -162 favorite at home going into the game.

Matthew Liberatore got the start for the Cardinals and took the loss. He only lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run and issuing three walks. The Cardinals’ offense scored their only run in the 2nd inning and Willson Contreras went 1/4 with a homer.

St. Louis will host the Mets today with an overall record of 15-19, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes dropping the final two games of their series vs. the White Sox. The Cardinals are 5th in the NL Central, 5.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead.

So far, the Cardinals are 0-3 in divisional games this season. At home, they are 6-9 compared to 9-10 on the road. This season, the Cardinals have struggled in day games, going 5-13.

When betting the run line with the Cardinals, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 11-6 against the run line in those spots. They are just 7-10 against the run line as the favorite. The Cardinals have been a tough team to back at home, as they are 8-7 against the run line. Their average run margin is -0.9, and they have a losing streak of two games against the run line at home.

The St. Louis Cardinals have had a combined run average of 7.9 in their games this season, and their over/under record is 12-21. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 1-3-1. Overall, 18 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, which accounts for 52.9% of their games this season. Their games have gone over the total in 11 of those contests.

Kyle Gibson Gets The Start For The Cardinals

St. Louis is sending right-hander Kyle Gibson to the mound today vs. the Mets. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 3.79. Looking at his overall numbers, Gibson has a WHIP of 1.13 and has issued 3.32 walks per nine innings compared to 6.87 strikeouts. Gibson has made four quality starts this year, and opponents are batting .216 off him. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in seven innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

st. louis cardinals

So far this season, the Cardinals offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs, team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. One of the few bright spots in their lineup has been the play of Nolan Arenado, who is batting .287 with two homers and 19 RBIs. Willson Contreras is also batting .275 and has gone deep six times so far.

Over his last 10 games, Contreras has gone 9/37 with three homers, and Alec Burleson has also hit two homers in his last eight games, but he is batting just .222 over that stretch. Michael Siani comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.

Mets vs Cardinals Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Cardinals matchup is to take the Cardinals on the money line at -124. We have the Cardinals winning this one by a final score of 5-4. At -124, the Cardinals have an implied win probability of 55.3%, and we see this as a good value.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Kyle Gibson finishing with five strikeouts compared to Sean Manaea with six. However, we have Gibson going six innings and Manaea going five, which could open up a bet on the Cardinals’ bullpen outlasting the Mets.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.