The New York Mets (79-66) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (69-77) on Wednesday, September 11th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on MLBN. The Blue Jays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Blue Jays. First pitch is set for 2:07 CT.
Mets vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Blue Jays (+105)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Blue Jays have scored 6 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.
- The Blue Jays have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- The Blue Jays have a higher home win percentage (35-36) compared to the Mets’ away win percentage (39-32).
- The Blue Jays have outscored their opponents by a total of 20 runs in their last 5 home wins.
- The Blue Jays have won 3 of their last 4 games against teams with a winning record.
Mets vs Blue Jays
Toronto picked up a 6-2 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Mets, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were at +109 on the money line.
Chris Bassitt pitched well for the Blue Jays in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, David Peterson got the start for the Mets, going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up four runs.
Toronto’s offense was led by Ernie Clement, Spencer Horwitz, and Joey Loperfido, as they were the only three Blue Jays hitters to have more than one hit. Clement scored three times and stole three bases. Loperfido also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
As the favorite, the Mets have a 52-37 straight-up record, but they are just 39-50 against the run line. Their run line record is 33-41 at home and 39-32 on the road, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game in their wins and -3.5 runs in their losses.
New York is currently on a four-series winning streak and has an 8-2 record in their last 10 games. They are 8 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, with a 79-66 overall record. The Mets’ over/under record this season is 71-69, and the average run total in their games is 9.1 runs.
Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets
Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 11-5 with a 3.43 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10, and opponents are batting .198 off him this year. In his last outing, Manaea finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Manaea has a solid strikeout per nine innings figure of 9.32.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Lindor’s 30 homers is 2nd on the team and Alonso has gone deep 31 times, which is the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. Lindor is also leading the Mets with 84 RBIs, while Alonso is 2nd at 79. Lindor is batting .269 for the season, and Alonso is hitting just .239.
Over his last seven games, Mark Vientos has three homers for the Mets, but is just 6/26 in that stretch. Currently, Jose Iglesias is on a five-game hitting streak for the Mets. As a team, the Mets are 9th in runs scored this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game.
Currently, the Blue Jays are in 5th place in the AL East, 14.5 games behind the Yankees and 2.5 games behind the Rays for the 4th spot. They have a 69-77 overall record and have lost three straight series, going 3-7 in their last ten games.
Against the run line, Toronto has been strong on the road with a 48-27 record, but they have struggled at home, going 27-44. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, resulting in a 75-67 over/under record. For games with an over/under line of 8 runs, their O/U record is 23-14-2.
Bowden Francis Gets The Start For The Blue Jays
Blue Jays starter Bowden Francis has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 8-4. His ERA for the season is 3.72, along with a WHIP of .99. Francis has pitched much better on the road this year, coming in with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 3.91. At home, his record is 3-1, and his ERA is 5.39. In his last outing, Francis took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Blue Jays Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense has been just below average, averaging 4.2 runs per game. They are also 20th in home runs and have a team batting average of .242. However, they have been good at avoiding strikeouts, and their team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all around league average. As a team, the Blue Jays have been good at avoiding strikeouts.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, coming in with a batting average of .321 to go along with 28 homers and 94 RBIs. He is also on a 4-game hitting streak. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .221 for the season. In his last five games, Spencer Horwitz has gone 9/15 with three homers.
Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction
Our prediction for this Mets vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line, with the payout sitting at +105. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 6-5, and you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Bowden Francis is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts than Sean Manaea, and we have Francis finishing with seven K’s. As for Manaea, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 11, 2024 Blue Jays, Mets