The New York Mets (78-65) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (68-76) on Monday, September 9th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on SNET. Both the Mets and Blue Jays are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:07 CT.
Mets vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Blue Jays (-105)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Blue Jays have scored 7 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
- Toronto has won 5 of their last 6 home games.
- The Blue Jays have a higher home win percentage (.493) compared to the Mets’ away win percentage (.551).
- Toronto has a 4-2 record in their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have outscored their opponents by 15 runs in their last 3 home wins.
Mets vs Blue Jays
The Blue Jays Took The Last Game Of This Series
Led by a big game by Harrison Bader at the plate, the Mets are coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. Bader went 2/3 with a run scored and a walk. The Mets’s offense scored only one run in the 3rd inning and then went on to lose the game 3-1. New York was the -210 favorite at home going into the game.
Luis Severino started for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings, and took the loss. He only gave up one run on five hits and struck out eight. However, the Mets’s offense scored only one run, and Phil Maton took the loss out of the bullpen.
New York has been on a hot streak, winning their last four series and going 9-1 in their last 10 games. They are looking to close the gap on the Phillies, who are seven games ahead of them in the NL East. The Mets have a 78-65 overall record and are 38-31 on the road this season.
Against the run line, the Mets have a 72-71 record, including a 39-30 mark on the road. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 71-68. When the total is set at 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 25-18. The under has hit in their last two games, and the O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs.
Paul Blackburn Gets The Start For The Mets
New York is sending Paul Blackburn to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 4.66. So far, he has made 14 starts, and opponents are batting .252 off the right-hander this season. Blackburn has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.05 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. The right-hander has a 8.09 ERA on the road compared to 3.51 at home.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Lindor is 2nd on the team with 30 homers, and Alonso is right behind him with 31 long balls. Lindor comes into the game batting .270 for the season, while Alonso is hitting just .240. Lindor’s 84 RBIs are the best mark on the team, with Alonso’s 79 RBIs being the 2nd best mark.
Over the Mets’ last seven games, Mark Vientos has been on a tear, going 10/27 with three homers and five RBIs. He has also scored five runs over that stretch. Jose Iglesias is currently on a three-game hitting streak.
The Blue Jays Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Braves scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Toronto was the +227 underdog on the money line going into this matchup.
Offensively, the Blue Jays only had three fewer hits than the Braves but scored just three runs. All three of their runs came in the 2nd inning. Spencer Horwitz was hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a homer and two RBIs.
Despite being 14.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East, the Blue Jays have a winning record against the run line, going 73-71. On the road, they have a strong 48-27 run line record, but at home, they are 25-44. As underdogs, they have a 42-33 run line record, while as favorites, they are 31-38.
When the Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is usually set at 8 runs, but for games with an 8.5 run line, the over/under record is 23-19. Their games this season have averaged 8.9 runs, resulting in a 75-66 over/under record.
Chris Bassitt Gets The Start For The Blue Jays
Chris Bassitt is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, as he gets the start for the Blue Jays today. Against the Phillies, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and he finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back over his last four starts, Bassitt has allowed at least two home runs in three of them. His ERA for the season is 4.30, along with a record of 9-13. Bassitt’s ERA at home is 5.8 compared to 4.07 on the road.
Blue Jays Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Blue Jays are 19th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.2 runs per game. They have been a very consistent team this season, as they are also 19th in road and home scoring. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 14th in the league, and are 6th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game. Toronto’s team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all right around the league average.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a force in the Blue Jays lineup this season, hitting .324 with a team-high 28 home runs and 94 RBIs. He is also 9th in the league in RBIs. Over his last eight games, Spencer Horwitz has gone 13/29 with four homers and eight RBIs. Justin Turner is currently on a four-game hitting streak, while Alejandro Kirk has a six-game streak going.
Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction
With the Blue Jays sitting at -105 on the money line, this is the best way to play this one. We have the Blue Jays taking this one 6-5, and with the payout sitting at -105, this is a great payout for a team that we have winning.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Paul Blackburn at five. Bassitt is also projected to finish with a lower ERA, and his Blue Jays team is projected to finish with the second-fewest strikeouts in the league today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 9, 2024 Blue Jays, Mets