The New York Yankees (60-45) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (55-47) on Saturday, July 27th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on FOX. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-108)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs

• The Red Sox have scored an average of 5.8 runs per game in their last 15 games, compared to the Yankees’ 4.1 runs per game in the same period.
• In the last 15 games, the Red Sox have a home record of 5-2, while the Yankees have an away record of 2-5.
• The Red Sox have won 3 out of their last 4 head-to-head games against the Yankees.
• The Red Sox have a higher batting average of .278 in the last 15 games compared to the Yankees’ .235.
• The Red Sox have hit 18 home runs in their last 15 games, while the Yankees have hit 12 home runs in the same period.

Yankees vs Red Sox

Boston picked up a 9-7 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Yankees, they scored two runs in the 5th and added four more in the 7th, but couldn’t complete the comeback.

Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up four runs and took the loss. Luke Weaver got the win out of the bullpen for the Red Sox as Bailey Horn went just two innings.

At the plate, the Red Sox were led by Ceddanne Rafaela, who went 3/4 with a home run. Rob Refsnyder also had three hits and drove in two for Boston’s offense.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are 60-45 overall and are two games behind the Orioles in the AL East. They have lost three straight games and are 4-6 in their last 10. Against the run line, they are 31-24 on the road and 16-4 as underdogs.

When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Yankees have a 6-3 over/under record. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Marcus Stroman Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending right-hander Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. Stroman is coming off a rough outing vs. the Rays, where he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three runs (two earned). Looking back over his last four outings, Stroman has allowed at least two homers in three of them. His record for the season is 7-5, and his ERA is 3.51. Stroman has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .227 off him this season. Out of his 20 appearances, Stroman has seven quality starts.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have also been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams, as their 152 home runs is the 2nd best in the league. New York’s offense has been especially good at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game.

Not only do the Yankees have the league’s top home run hitter in Aaron Judge, but he also leads the MLB with 92 RBIs. Judge is batting .306 this season, and Juan Soto is right behind him with a batting average of .307. Soto has also been hot of late, going 15/39 in his last nine games with four homers.

Currently, the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, 5.5 games behind the Orioles and 2 games behind the Yankees. Their overall record is 55-47, and they have a 14-11 record against AL East teams. Boston has won three consecutive games at home and is leading the series against the Yankees.

On the run line, the Red Sox have been more profitable as underdogs, with a 29-21 record, compared to 19-33 as favorites. Their average run differential is +0.3 runs per game, but it increases to +0.9 runs per game on the road. This season, their over/under record is 49-47, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs. The current over streak is at 2 games.

Kutter Crawford Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Boston is sending Kutter Crawford to the mound today vs. the Yankees, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers. In that start, he gave up six earned runs in five innings of work and took the loss. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in three straight starts. Crawford has a record of 6-8 this season and an ERA of 3.37. Looking at his home/away splits, he is 3-5 with a 3.90 ERA at home compared to 3-3 with a 3.21 ERA on the road.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 8th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .258, which is the 2nd best mark in the league, and are also among the league leaders in slugging percentage and on-base percentage. Boston’s team BABIP of .32 is the best in the league.

Over the past six games, Jarren Duran has gone 10/27 with two homers and nine RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .291, and he has gone deep 13 times so far. Tyler O’Neill also has four homers in his last five games and is batting .268 for the season.

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction

With the Red Sox at -108 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick, as our projections have them winning this game 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could take the over, as the line is sitting at 9.5 runs, and we have this game combining for 11 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Kutter Crawford is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is good for fifth worst among today’s starters. As for Marcus Stroman, we have him finishing with four strikeouts, which is the sixth worst on the slate.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.