New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5/15/2024

The New York Yankees (28-15) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (24-17) on Wednesday, May 15th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.

Yankees vs Twins

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It was all New York in the last game of this series, as the Yankees took down the Twins by a score of 5-1. The Yankees offense only had two more hits than the Twins and struck out six times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -115 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Carlos Rodón for the Yankees and Chris Paddack for the Twins. Rodón went six innings and gave up just one hit and one earned run, picking up a win in the game. Paddack struggled, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work.

Minnesota’s only run came in the first inning, as they got on the board with one run off Rodón. After that, he settled in and shut down the Twins offense. As for the Yankees, they scored two runs in the second and added three more in the 4th. After the 4th inning, both offenses went silent.

The Yankees are 28-15 overall and lead the AL East by a half-game over the Orioles. New York has won two straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10 games. Currently, they have an even 8-8 record in AL East matchups.

So far, the Yankees have been good both at home (13-6) and on the road (15-9). As the road favorite, the Yankees are 8-5 this year, and they have won two straight road games as the favorite. New York’s overall series record is 10-2-1, and they have won three straight series.

The Yankees have been a solid run line bet this season, going 22-21 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 14-10 ATS. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 8-3 ATS. Their average run differential in wins is +3.5, while it is -2.6 in losses.

So far this season, the Yankees have had an over/under record of 18-23, and the average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs. In games where the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 3-4. Overall, 72.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Marcus Stroman Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today, and he is coming off a rough outing against the Astros. In that May 9th start, he gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work, taking the loss. Stroman was tagged for two home runs in that outing. Overall, he has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 3.80. Stroman’s WHIP for the season is 1.50. Looking back at his last four outings, he has finished with a no-decision in three straight starts. Stroman has made two quality starts this year.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, New York is 3rd in home runs and have the 7th best team batting average in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .336 is 3rd in the league.

Right fielder Juan Soto has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .313 with 9 homers and 34 RBIs. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton have also been big power threats, as they are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs, respectively. Judge has 27 RBIs and is batting .236, but he has been hot of late, going 10/28 in his last eight games with four homers.

Minnesota is 24-17 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL Central. Currently, they are two games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins are 12-7 against other teams in the AL Central this season.

So far, the Twins have been good at home, going 11-9, and they have gone 13-8 on the road. As the underdog, Minnesota has dropped two straight, and they are 5-10 as the underdog overall. Minnesota has been good as the favorite, putting together a mark of 19-7. Looking at their overall series record, the Twins are 7-4-2 and have won six straight series.

Minnesota has been a solid run line bet this season, going 22-19 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 13-8, compared to 9-11 at home. They have been a favorite in 26 games, going 15-11, and an underdog in 15 games, going 7-8. Their average run differential is +0.6 runs per game, and they have a run differential of +0.8 runs per game on the road.

The Twins have been trending towards the under, with their last two games going under the total. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8 runs per game. So far this season, the Twins have played to the under in 20 of their 40 games, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game.

Pablo López Gets The Start For The Twins

Pablo López has been pitching well for the Twins, as he has won each of his last three starts. Most recently, he faced the Mariners and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, López has made eight starts, has a record of 4-2, and an ERA of 3.89. Opponents are batting .215 off the right-hander this season. López has made four quality starts and is averaging 11.25 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed six home runs.

Twins Offense Breakdown

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Carlos Santana has been on a tear of late for the Twins, going 8/25 over his last eight games with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .213. Ryan Jeffers and Edouard Julien are tied for 2nd on the team with seven homers apiece, with Jeffers leading the Twins with 31 RBIs. Jeffers is also batting .290 for the season, and Julien comes in at just .228.

Minnesota’s offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game (9th) and has been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .240 and have the league’s 3rd best isolated power figure. The Twins also have the league’s 9th home run total.

Yankees vs Twins Prediction

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Twins matchup is to take the Yankees on the money line, with the payout sitting at -102. We actually have the Yankees winning this one by a score of 5-4. However, if you wanted to take the Yankees on the run line, you could, as we have them winning by just one run.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher’s projections, Marcus Stroman is predicted to finish with four strikeouts, which is the third-lowest among all starters. As for Pablo Lopez, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which has him just inside the top half of starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.