New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5/16/2024

The New York Yankees (29-15) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (24-18) on Thursday, May 16th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 1:10 ET.

Yankees vs Twins

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New York cruised to a 4-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 1st inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Twins, they had their best scoring chance in the 7th, but could only muster one run. Heading into the game, the Yankees were at +119 on the money line.

Marcus Stroman started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just two strikeouts but induced three double plays. Pablo Lopez had a rough outing for the Twins, taking the loss after going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.

Aaron Judge was the difference for the Yankees, as he went 4/4 with a home run. Judge scored two of the Yankees’ four runs and drove in two. Giancarlo Stanton also had a two-hit game for New York.

The Yankees are on a three-game winning streak, and they lead the AL East with a record of 29-15. Currently, they hold a half-game lead over the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they are 8-8 in AL East matchups this season. The Yankees have won three straight games at home and are 16-9 on the road this year.

As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 21-11 this year, and they are 8-4 as the underdog. New York has an overall series record of 10-2-1 this year and has won three straight series. Looking at how they have been playing lately, the Yankees are 8-2 over their last 10 games.

The Yankees have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 23-21 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 15-10 against the run line. Their average run differential this season is +1.4 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in three straight road games and in two straight games overall.

So far this season, the Yankees have played in 42 games, and 31 of them have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs. The average line for their games is 8 runs, but their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 18-24, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, the record is 3-5. Their last two games have gone under the line, and their over/under record in games with a line of 8 runs is 3-5.

Clarke Schmidt Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending right-hander Clarke Schmidt to the mound today as he faces the Twins on the road. Schmidt has made eight starts this year and has a record of 4-1 to go along with a 2.95 ERA. He is coming off a start in which he didn’t give up an earned run, going 6 2/3 innings and picking up the win. Looking back over his last four starts, Schmidt has given up three earned runs twice and has allowed at least one homer in three of those outings. Schmidt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Yankees are 7th in the league at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in home runs and have the 6th best team batting average in the league. One of the reasons they have been so good offensively is that they are 2nd in the league in walks and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league.

In terms of home runs, Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are both near the top of the league and have been the team’s top power threats this season. Judge has been especially hot of late, going 14/32 in his last nine games, with five homers and 10 RBIs. Juan Soto has also been swinging the bat well of late, as he is on a three-game hitting streak and has gone deep nine times this season.

Minnesota is 24-18 overall this season, and they are two games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins have dropped two straight games, losing the first two games of this series vs. the Yankees. So far, they have gone 12-7 in AL Central games.

At home, the Twins are 11-10 this year and 13-8 on the road. As the underdog, the Twins are 5-10 this year and 19-8 when favored. Minnesota has an overall series record of 7-4-2 this year, and they have won six straight series overall and three straight on the road.

The Twins are a team that has been pretty consistent in terms of run line results this season. They are 22-20 overall, and they have been a better run line bet on the road (13-8) than at home (9-12). They have been favored in 27 games and have covered the run line in 15 of those contests. They have been an underdog in 15 games and have covered the run line in seven of those games.

The Minnesota Twins have had a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, but their over/under record is just 20-21. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 4-6-1, and the under has hit in their last three games. So far this season, 35.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 38.1% have had lines set below 8 runs.

Joe Ryan Gets The Start For The Twins

Minnesota is sending Joe Ryan to the mound today vs. the Yankees, and he has made six quality starts in his eight outings. Ryan’s ERA for the season is 3.21, and his record is 2-2. In his most recent outing, he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work vs. the Blue Jays. Ryan finished that game with seven strikeouts. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. The right-hander has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 1.87 compared to 4.64 at home.

Twins Offense Breakdown

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As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been especially good on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in home runs and have a team batting average of .237. One thing to watch will be their team strikeout numbers, as they are 15th in this category.

Ryan Jeffers has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 10 homers are 4th in the league. He is also 8th in the league with 31 RBIs. Jeffers is batting .283 for the season and went 6/24 in his last seven games. Willi Castro and Edouard Julien are also near the top of the Twins home run leaderboard, with three and seven homers, respectively.

Yankees vs Twins Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins on the money line at -119. We have the Twins winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the payout for a Yankees win sitting at +101, we see the Twins’ payout as the best value.

If you’re looking for a potential parlay option, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs, and we have these two teams combining for 11 runs.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.