New York Yankees vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction 6/25/2024

The New York Yankees (52-28) travel to face off against the New York Mets (37-39) on Tuesday, June 25th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Yankees vs Mets

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The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 3-1 loss. New York was the slight favorite at -118 on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Braves scored three times in the third.

Nestor Cortes was excellent for the Yankees, going seven innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out seven. However, the Yankees offense scored only one run, and it came in the 6th inning. Trent Grisham and Ben Rice each had two hits. Grisham scored the team’s only run and Rice drove him in.

The Yankees come into today’s road matchup vs. the Mets with an overall record of 52-28, which has them leading the AL East by 2 games over the Orioles. New York is 10-12 in divisional games and lost their most recent series, dropping two games to the Braves. So far, the Yankees have been good at home, going 24-14, and they have been even better on the road, entering today with a record of 28-14.

As the road favorite, the Yankees have gone 17-10 this season and are 40-22 overall as the favorite. They are also 12-6 as the underdog this season. Looking at their overall series record, the Yankees are 17-6-2 and have dropped three straight series at home.

The Yankees are 26-16 vs. the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. They are 14-4 vs. the run line as an underdog this season and have an average run margin of 1.8 runs per game on the road.

The New York Yankees are on the road today to face the New York Mets, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Yankees games this season is 8.6, and their over/under record is 39-39. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Yankees have gone over the total 18 times and under 14 times. Overall, 23.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Gerrit Cole Gets The Start For The Yankees

Coming off of a no-decision in his first start of the season, Gerrit Cole and the Yankees are on the road to take on the Mets. Cole’s first start was at home against the Orioles, where he went 4 innings, giving up 2 earned runs on 3 hits and 1 home run.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

The Yankees come into the game as the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are also one of the top-scoring offenses in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. New York has been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .250 as a team, which is 7th in the league.

Aaron Judge is the league’s top home run hitter and is also leading the MLB in RBIs. Judge is batting .300 for the season and has gone 7/24 with three homers over his last seven games. Juan Soto and Giancarlo Stanton are also near the top of the league in home runs, with 18 homers apiece.

Heading into their last game vs. the Cubs, the Mets closed out the series with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -108 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Cubs could only score two runs, both of which came in the 7th.

Luis Severino put together a good start for the Mets, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out 10 Cubs batters. Francisco Lindor was hot at the plate, going 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Mets will be taking on the Yankees at home today, with an overall record of 37-39, which has them 3rd in the NL East. The Mets are 14 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead, and they are 11-10 in divisional matchups this year. New York closed out their series vs. the Cubs with a win and took the series 2-1.

At home, the Mets are 18-23 this year and 19-16 on the road. As the home underdog, the Mets have gone just 4-10 this season. New York has won five straight games as the underdog, and they are 20-19 as the favorite. The Mets’ overall series record is 12-12-3, and they have won five straight series.

So far this season, the Mets have a run line record of 35-41, and they have been a better bet on the road (21-14) than at home (14-27). Their average run differential is -0.0, but they have been outscored by 0.5 runs per game at home and have a run line record of 13-26 as the favorite. They have covered the run line in five straight games as the underdog.

Today’s over/under line for the Mets game is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Mets have played 15 games with higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for those games is 9-9. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 38-36. The under has hit in the last two Mets games, and their games have gone under the line in 56.6% of their games this season.

David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets

David Peterson is getting the start for the Mets today, and he has been solid in his first three outings of the season. He has picked up wins in each of his first two starts and is coming off a 6-inning outing against the Rangers in which he struck out 6 and allowed 2 earned runs. He has yet to give up more than 1 home run in a start this season.

Mets Offense Breakdown

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As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per game. Overall, they are 7th in the league in home runs and have the 8th batting average in the league. The Mets have been a good home run hitting team this season, but they are just 27th in the league in runs scored at home.

Brandon Nimmo has been on a tear of late, hitting .414 over his last seven games with four homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .244 with 11 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Nimmo’s 43 RBIs are the most on the team. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are also near the top of the Mets’ home run leaderboard, with 16 and 13 homers, respectively.

Yankees vs Mets Prediction

With the Mets at +123 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. At home, we have the Mets winning this one 6-5, giving us a good amount of wiggle room with the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Gerrit Cole is projected to finish with more strikeouts than David Peterson, but we have Peterson finishing with a solid six K’s. Cole is projected to finish with seven strikeouts.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.