New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 5/10/2024

The New York Yankees (25-14) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (19-19) on Friday, May 10th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on YES. Both the Yankees and Rays are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:50 ET.

Yankees vs Rays

new york yankees nba

The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Astros with a 4-3 loss. New York was the heavy favorite at -152 at home going into the game but fell behind early, as the Astros scored three times in the first.

Marcus Stroman took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on nine hits. The Yankees’s offense scored their three runs on a homer from Anthony Volpe but only had six hits total. Aaron Judge scored the team’s other run, going 1/4 with a homer.

The Yankees are 25-14 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL East, just a half-game behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they are 6-7 in divisional matchups. New York is playing today’s game on the road, where they are 12-8 this season. They have also been strong at home, going 13-6.

As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 18-10 this season, and they are 7-4 as the underdog. New York has an overall series record of 9-2-1 and have won two straight series. Their series win streak comes after dropping two straight series.

Despite the Yankees’ overall run line record being below .500, they have been a profitable bet on the run line on the road this season, going 11-9. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 8-3, compared to 11-17 as the favorite. The Yankees’ average run margin in winning games is 3.5, while it drops to -2.4 in their losses.

Through 37 games, the Yankees have played to an over/under record of 16-21, with an average combined run total of 8.3. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5, their record is 10-8. Overall, 28.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 or higher, with the under hitting in 55.6% of those contests.

Clarke Schmidt Gets The Start For The Yankees

Clarke Schmidt gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.50 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .252 off Schmidt this year. In his 36 innings of work, Schmidt has a WHIP of 1.31 and is averaging 10.25 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Schmidt picked up the win, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Before that outing, he had given up just one earned run in two straight starts.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

So far, the Yankees have been a good offensive team, averaging 4.8 runs per game (11th) and batting a collective .249 (6th). They have been especially good on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York is also near the top of the league in home runs and walks, while also having a good team on-base percentage and slugging percentage. As a team, they are 2nd in walks and 2nd in OBP.

Juan Soto has been the team’s best hitter this season, batting .333 with a league-leading 33 RBIs. He also has nine homers, which is 4th in the league. Soto has also been hot of late, going 14/37 in his last 10 games. Aaron Judge is also on a six-game hitting streak and is batting .314 in his last 10 games. For the season, Judge is hitting .236 with nine homers.

The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the White Sox with a 4-1 loss. Tampa Bay was the heavy favorite at -267 going into the game but fell behind early, as the White Sox scored three times in the 2nd.

Aaron Civale took the loss for the Rays, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and issued the game’s only two walks. Offensively, the Rays only had one fewer hit than the White Sox but scored just one run. Harold Ramirez was the lone bright spot, going 2/4 with a run scored.

Tampa Bay hosts the Yankees with an even 19-19 record, and they are six games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they are 3-4 in divisional games. The Rays have won two straight series, taking two of three from the White Sox in their most recent series.

At home, the Rays are 13-10 compared to 6-9 on the road. As the favorite, Tampa Bay is 14-15 this year and 5-4 as the underdog. So far this season, they have an even series record of 5-5-2.

When the Tampa Bay Rays win, they win big. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.5, but they’re still just 15-23 against the run line this season. They’re just 6-9 against the run line on the road and 9-20 as the favorite, but they’re 6-3 as the underdog.

With an average combined run total of 8.9 runs per game, the Tampa Bay Rays have seen their games go over the total in 21 of 38 games this season. However, they have hit the under in two straight games and in three of their last four. The over/under line for today’s game against the New York Yankees is set at 8.5 runs, and the Rays have gone 6-9 this season when the line has been set at that number.

Taj Bradley Gets The Start For The Rays

Taj Bradley is coming off a season in which he made 21 starts and 23 total appearances. His record for the season was 5-8, and he finished the year with an ERA of 5.59. Bradley’s WHIP for the season was 1.39, and he allowed a batting average of .254. His FIP for the season was 4.79, and he finished the year with 23 home runs allowed. Bradley’s strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 3.3, and he averaged 1.7 walks per game.

Rays Offense Breakdown

tampa bay rays

Coming into the game, the Rays are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 8th in the league. Tampa Bay has been good at putting the ball in play this season, as their team BABIP of .31 is the 5th best mark in the league. However, their isolated power (ISO) of just .120 is 24th in the league.

Isaac Paredes comes into the game with a batting average of .300 and has gone deep a team-high eight times. He also leads the team with 20 RBIs. Paredes has gone 7/20 in his last six games, with one home run. Harold Ramirez is also swinging a hot bat for the Rays, as he has gone 10/21 in his last six games and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.

Yankees vs Rays Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Rays game is to take the Rays on the money line, with the payout currently at +119. We have the Rays winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitcher, Clarke Schmidt, his projections have him finishing with the second-worst ERA among starters today. He is also predicted to give up five hits, and his eight strikeouts have him as the highest among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.