New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Prediction
PublishedJuly 10, 2024,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:July 10, 2024 ,

MLB New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 7/10/2024

The New York Yankees (55-38) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (45-46) on Wednesday, July 10th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on BSSUN. The Rays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rays. First pitch is set for 5:50 CT.

Yankees vs. Rays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Rays (-110)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Rays have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games, showing strong offensive capability.
  • The Rays have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, indicating recent competitive performance.
  • The Rays have a 24-25 home record, which is better than their away record, suggesting they perform better at home.
  • The Yankees have lost 7 of their last 10 games, indicating a recent slump in performance.
  • The Rays won their last head-to-head game against the Yankees at home, scoring 5 runs to the Yankees’ 3.

Yankees vs Rays

new york yankees nba

Tampa Bay picked up a 5-3 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their first run in the 7th and added two more in the 8th.

Ryan Pepiot only went 5 2/3 innings for the Rays but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued three walks. Carlos Rodon struggled on the mound for the Yankees, giving up four earned runs in just four innings of work.

Ben Rice hit the game’s only home run while going 1/5 with two RBI, but it came in a losing effort. Isaac Paredes also had a two RBI game at the plate for the Rays.

As the underdog, the Yankees have been a strong run line bet, going 14-4 this season. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.1, while in losing games, it’s -3.3. New York has a 43-32 record as favorites this year, and they are 19-15 on the road when favored. Overall, their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 48-41.

Currently, the Yankees are 3 games behind the Orioles in the AL East, with a 55-38 overall record. They have lost two straight games and are 3-7 in their last 10. New York’s series record for the season is 16-9-3, but they have dropped their last two series.

Marcus Stroman Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending right-hander Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Rays. Stroman is coming off a rough outing vs. the Reds, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. In his 18 starts, Stroman has a record of 7-4 and an ERA of 3.58. Looking at his numbers, Stroman has a WHIP of 1.29 and has issued 4.02 walks per nine innings compared to 6.79 strikeouts. For the season, he has allowed 15 home runs. Stroman has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 3.0 compared to 2-3 with a 4.91 ERA at home.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top offense in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging five runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 7th in the league, and also have the top on-base percentage in the league.

Right now, Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are leading the Yankees in home runs, and both players are near the top of the league in RBIs. Over his last six games, Ben Rice has five homers and 10 RBIs, while Alex Verdugo has gone 7/24 in his last six games.

At home, the Rays have a run line record of 17-32 and a scoring margin of -0.7 runs per game. Overall, they are 42-49 against the run line, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. As underdogs, they have a run line record of 24-17.

For the season, the Rays have an over/under record of 44-42 and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-12-1. Tampa Bay’s overall series record this year is 15-11-2, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Zach Eflin Gets The Start For The Rays

Zach Eflin gets the start for the Rays today and comes in with a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 4.19. He has made 16 starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.15. Eflin has turned in five quality starts this year and is averaging 7.02 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Eflin picked up the win, going five innings and giving up five earned runs. Before that, he had not allowed an earned run in two straight starts. Eflin’s ERA on the road is 5.46 compared to 2.57 at home.

Rays Offense Breakdown

tampa bay rays

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot in the Rays lineup this season, leading the team with 50 RBIs and 15 home runs, which is 12th in the league. However, he has struggled of late, going just 4/25 in his last seven games. Yandy Diaz has been a consistent hitter for the Rays this season, batting .270 with eight homers and 43 RBIs. He is also on a three-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Rays are batting just .235 this season and are near the bottom of the league in runs scored. They are averaging only 3.8 runs per game at home and 4 runs per game on the road. Overall, their on-base percentage and slugging percentage numbers are right around league average.

Yankees vs Rays Prediction

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Rays matchup is to take the Rays on the money line, with the payout being -110. Offensively, we have the Rays coming out on top with a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Zach Eflin has a much better chance of picking up a win than Marcus Stroman. Eflin is projected to finish with five strikeouts, while Stroman is predicted to finish with just four.

Offensively, the Yankees are predicted to finish with eight hits, compared to the Rays, who are projected to finish with eight. However, the Yankees are projected to finish with the fifth most runs today, compared to the Rays, who are predicted to finish with the 16th most.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.