New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 7/11/2024

The New York Yankees (56-38) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (45-47) on Thursday, July 11th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on BSSUN. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 5:50 CT.

Yankees vs. Rays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Rays (+102)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Rays have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
  • The Rays have outscored the Yankees 6-3 in their last two head-to-head home games.
  • The Rays have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games.
  • The Rays have a higher home win percentage (24-26) compared to the Yankees’ away win percentage (31-19).
  • The Rays have won 3 out of their last 5 games against AL East opponents.

Yankees vs Rays

new york yankees nba

New York picked up a 2-1 road win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees offense only had two more hits than the Rays and struck out eight times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at +103 on the money line.

Tampa Bay wasted a good outing from Zach Eflin, as he gave up just one run in seven innings of work for the Rays. Marcus Stroman started for the Yankees, giving up one earned run across just 4 1/3 innings. Tim Hill got the win out of the bullpen, and Clay Holmes got the save.

At the plate, Juan Soto went 2/4 with an RBI, while Trent Grisham also had two hits and scored twice for New York. Ben Rortvedt had a two-hit game for the Rays.

Currently, the Yankees are in a bit of a slump, having lost seven of their last ten games and two straight series. They are 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles, with a 56-38 overall record. This season, they have a 43-32 record as the favorite and are 15-4 against the run line when they are the underdog.

For the season, Yankees games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 48-42. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their O/U record is 7-9-2. Today’s O/U line of 8 runs is lower than usual, as 63.8% of their games have had higher totals.

Nestor Cortes Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 4-7 with a 3.40 ERA. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision vs. the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Cortes has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings. So far, he has made nine starts on the road and is 0-4 with a 5.86 ERA.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

The Yankees offense comes into the game as the 2nd highest scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game. New York has been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams this season and also lead the league in walks. Overall, they are 4th in team OPS and 3rd in on-base percentage.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the team’s top two power threats this season, with Judge leading the league with 32 homers and Soto’s 21 homers being good for 7th in the league. Judge has also been hot of late, going 11/38 with two homers over his last 10 games. Ben Rice has also been swinging a hot bat, going 10/38 with five homers in that same stretch.

As underdogs, the Rays have a 24-17 run line record, but as favorites, they are 18-33. Overall, their run line record is 42-50 with an average margin of -0.7 runs per game. In the AL East, they are in 4th place, 12 games behind the Orioles, with an 11-18 record in divisional matchups.

For the season, the Rays have played 87 games with over/under lines set at 8 runs, resulting in a 10-13-1 O/U record. Their overall O/U record is 44-43, with games averaging 8.7 runs. In their current series against the Yankees, they are tied 1-1.

Shane Baz Gets The Start For The Rays

Shane Baz is getting the start for the Rays today as they take on the Yankees. Baz is coming off a loss in his first start of the season, where he went 6 innings and gave up 3 earned runs on 7 hits. He did strike out 6 batters in that outing.

Rays Offense Breakdown

tampa bay rays

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays so far this season, leading the team with 50 RBIs while also batting .265 with a team-high 15 homers. However, Paredes has struggled of late, going just 7/31 in his last nine games. Yandy Diaz has a four-game hitting streak and is batting .269 for the season with eight homers and 44 RBIs.

As a team, the Rays are averaging just 4 runs per game and have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.8 runs per contest. They are also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs and have a team batting average of just .235. Overall, their team OPS is just 19th in the league.

Yankees vs Rays Prediction

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Rays matchup is to take the Rays on the money line, with the payout sitting at +102. We have the Rays winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Shane Baz finishing with five strikeouts compared to Nestor Cortes with seven. However, we have Baz finishing with a higher ERA than Cortes, but we still like the Rays to come out on top.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.