Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Orioles vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 5/24/2024

The Baltimore Orioles (30-18) travel to face off against the Chicago White Sox (15-36) on Friday, May 24th. This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago and televised on APLTV. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the White Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.

Orioles vs White Sox

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Baltimore picked up an 8-6 road win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 4th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the White Sox, they scored six of their runs in the 9th inning.

Grayson Rodriguez got the win for the Orioles, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Mike Clevinger only went 4 2/3 innings for the White Sox, giving up five earned runs on seven hits.

Ryan Mountcastle had a big game at the plate for the Orioles, going 4/5 with two RBIs. Jorge Mateo and Anthony Santander each homered for Baltimore. For the White Sox, Tommy Pham went 3/4 with two RBIs.

The Orioles are 30-18 overall, putting them three games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Baltimore is 7-2 in divisional games this year. They won the first game of this series vs. the White Sox and have an overall series record of 10-4-2 this year.

At home, the Orioles have gone 17-10 this year, and they are 13-8 on the road. So far, they have really thrived as the favorite, going 23-16, which includes being 7-7 as the favorite on the road. Over the last 10 games, the Orioles are just 4-6.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs. They are 25-23 against the run line this season, including 11-10 on the road. They have a run differential of +1.1 runs per game, both at home and on the road. They have been the favorite in 39 games, going 18-21 against the run line in those contests. As the underdog, they are 7-2.

When the Orioles are on the road, the over/under line for their games is typically set at 8 runs. This season, their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 24-19. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 6-2-1. Overall, 62.5% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs.

Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles

Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the White Sox on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 4-2 with a 2.56 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his 10 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he finished with 11 strikeouts. Burnes has allowed a total of six home runs this season.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top two offensive threats this season, with Henderson leading the team with 35 RBIs and 16 homers, which is 2nd in the league. Rutschman is hitting .299 for the season and has gone deep nine times, which is 2nd on the team. Henderson has been especially hot of late, going 8/24 in his last seven games with four homers and eight RBIs.

Overall, the Orioles are 4th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are the league’s top power-hitting lineup, and their team isolated power of .192 is the best mark in baseball.

With a record of 15-36, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 18.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 5-19 this year. Chicago is coming into today’s game having dropped two straight games.

Chicago has struggled on the road this year, going 5-21, and they are just below .500 at home with a record of 10-15. This season, the White Sox are just 5-17 in day games and have an overall series record of 4-11-1. As the underdog, the White Sox are 13-36 this year and 2-0 when favored.

When betting the run line, the White Sox are 23-28 overall, but 15-10 at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the favorite, but are just 8-18 on the road. The average run differential in their wins is +2.5, while in their losses it is -4.1.

The Chicago White Sox have had 41.2% of their games this season with an over/under line set at 8 runs, and they are 7-3 in those games. The over has hit in two straight games for the White Sox, and their games have averaged exactly 8 runs per game this season.

Chris Flexen Gets The Start For The White Sox

Chris Flexen will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees, as he gets the start for the White Sox today. In that May 19th start, he gave up seven earned runs in just four innings of work. Flexen took the loss in that outing. Looking back over his last three starts, Flexen has finished with a no-decision, a win, and a loss. His ERA for the season is 5.48, along with a record of 2-4. Opposing batters are hitting .257 off Flexen this season. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

White Sox Offense Breakdown

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Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are last in home runs and are averaging just 2.9 runs per game. Their team batting average of .216 is 21st in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. The White Sox’s team OPS of .610 is the worst in the MLB.

Paul DeJong has been one of the few bright spots for the White Sox this season, as his seven home runs are 10th in the league, and he is batting .237. However, he has gone just 4/19 in his last six games. Andrew Benintendi is batting just .187 this season but does lead the team with 17 RBIs. Eloy Jiménez has five homers this season but is batting just .231.

Orioles vs White Sox Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Orioles vs. White Sox matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Orioles. However, with the payout for a straight up Orioles win being -260, we recommend taking the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our projections have the Orioles’ offense finishing with the third most home runs on the day.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Chris Flexen, who is projected to finish with four. If you’re looking for a starting pitcher to pick up a win, Burnes is a much better option, as he has the seventh best odds compared to Flexen at 10th.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.