The Baltimore Orioles (65-46) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (67-42) on Saturday, August 3rd. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on FOX. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.
Orioles vs. Guardians Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Guardians (+111)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Guardians have won 4 of their last 5 home games, showcasing strong recent performance at home.
- In the last 15 games, the Guardians have outscored their opponents 67 to 55, indicating a positive run differential.
- The Guardians have won both of their last two head-to-head games against the Orioles, scoring a combined 18 runs to the Orioles’ 7.
- Over the last 15 games, the Guardians have scored 5 or more runs in 9 games, demonstrating consistent offensive production.
- The Guardians have a 5-game winning streak, indicating strong current form and momentum.
Orioles vs Guardians
Cleveland picked up an 8-4 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 2nd inning, scoring eight of their nine runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their four runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were at -101 on the money line.
Carlos Carrasco only went 4 1/3 innings for the Guardians but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued four walks. Cade Smith got the win out of the bullpen. Dean Kremer struggled on the mound for the Orioles, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.
Josh Naylor had a three-hit game for Cleveland, scoring twice and driving in two runs. Brayan Rocchio also had a multi-hit game and drove in a run. Austin Hedges had a two RBI game at the plate.
Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are 65-46 overall and share the AL East lead with the Yankees. They have a 23-10 record within the division this season. As the favorite, the Orioles have a 53-36 record, and their overall series record is 22-10-3.
On the road, the Orioles have a 31-21 record straight up and a 30-22 record against the run line. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and they have a 61-40 over/under record. Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is a rarity for them, as most of their games have had lower totals.
Zach Eflin Gets The Start For The Orioles
Zach Eflin will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Blue Jays and picked up the win. In that July 29th outing, he went 6 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Eflin has made 20 starts and has a record of 6-7. His ERA for the season is 4.11, along with a WHIP of 1.19. Opposing batters are hitting .265 this season off Eflin. The right-hander has made 12 appearances on the road, going 2-5 with a 5.41 ERA. At home, his ERA is 2.65.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also near the top of the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .254, which is the 5th best mark in the league. Baltimore’s team slugging percentage of .451 is the best in the league, and their isolated power (ISO) of .197 is also the best in the league.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson are the Orioles’ top home run hitters this season, with 32 and 28 homers, respectively. Santander comes into the game with a seven-game hitting streak and has gone 8/29 over his last eight games, including three homers. Colton Cowser has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/33 in his last eight games.
Cleveland enters today’s game with a 5-game winning streak and an overall record of 67-42, leading the AL Central by six games over the Royals. The Guardians have a 55-54 run line record this season, with a run differential of +0.8 runs per game. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs, and the over/under record is 52-51.
At home, the Guardians are 35-15 straight up and 24-26 against the run line. This season, they have a 48-23 record when favored, and their overall series record is 22-10-3. The over has hit in their last two games, and only 5.5% of their games have had over/under lines of 9 runs.
Joey Cantillo Gets The Start For The Guardians
Joey Cantillo will be making his second start of the season for the Guardians, and he is coming off a no-decision in his first outing. Cantillo went just 3 1/3 innings against the Phillies, giving up 3 earned runs on 4 hits and 3 walks.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been providing the power for the Guardians this season, as Ramirez’s 28 homers are 5th in the league, and Naylor is 10th in the MLB with 23 homers. Ramirez’s 91 RBIs are the 2nd most in the league, while Naylor is also near the top of the leaderboard, coming in at 6th with 77 RBIs. Over his last five games, Ramirez is 7/17 with four homers, and Naylor is 8/15 in his last four games, including one home run.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been a good home team this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 12th in home runs and have the 12th best team batting average in the league. Cleveland comes into the game with the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Orioles vs Guardians Prediction
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line, with the payout sitting at +111. We have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 6-4, giving you a good margin to work with.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Joey Cantillo has a higher chance of picking up a win than Zach Eflin. Cantillo is projected to finish with five strikeouts, while Eflin is projected to finish with five as well.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 3, 2024 Guardians, Orioles