The Baltimore Orioles (66-46) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (67-43) on Sunday, August 4th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on MASN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.

Orioles vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Guardians (+119)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs

• Guardians have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
• Guardians have scored an average of 6.6 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
• Guardians have won 2 out of 3 games against the Orioles in their last series.
• Guardians have a home record of 35-16, while the Orioles have an away record of 32-21.
• Guardians have a league rank of 1st in the AL Central, while the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East.

Orioles vs Guardians

Baltimore rallied for four runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Guardians series. The Orioles scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 8th, picking up a 7-4 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -117 on the money line.

Zach Eflin started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed one home run. Yennier Cano got the save. Joey Cantillo had a rough outing for the Guardians, taking the loss after going just four innings and giving up three earned runs.

At the plate, Gunnar Henderson went 3/5 with two RBIs and two runs scored for the Orioles. Jackson Holliday also had two hits and drove in a run. Jose Ramirez hit a home run for the Guardians, going 1/4 with two RBIs.

Currently, the Orioles are tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead with a 66-46 record, and they hold a 3.5-game lead over the Red Sox. They have gone 23-10 against other teams in the AL East this season. Baltimore is looking to bounce back after losing two of the first three games in their series against the Guardians.

As favorites, the Orioles are 54-36 straight up and 45-45 against the run line. The over has hit in 62 of their 102 games this season, and in games with an 8-run total, the over is 13-5-3. Baltimore’s games have gone over in their last four outings.

Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles

Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 11-4 with an ERA of 2.47. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.04, and he has turned in 18 quality starts. In his last outing, Burnes went 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a home run. Burnes has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 2.94 compared to 6-2 with a 2.15 ERA at home.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Orioles are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Baltimore has the league’s top home run total and also have the best isolated power figure in the league. The Orioles’ team slugging percentage of .452 is also the best in the MLB.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the top two power threats in the Orioles lineup this season, with Santander leading the team with 32 homers and Henderson right behind him at 28. Santander has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/31 in his last eight games, with three homers. Colton Cowser is also swinging a hot bat, going 12/32 in his last eight games, with two homers.

As favorites, Cleveland has a 48-23 record this season, while as underdogs, they are 19-20. Their overall record is 67-43, and they lead the AL Central by 5.5 games over the Twins. The Guardians have won two straight series and have a series record of 22-10-3 this year.

When the total is set at 8 runs, the over/under record for Cleveland games is 8-9-2. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, with the over hitting in 53 of their 104 games. The Guardians’ run line record is 55-55, and they have a positive run differential of 0.8 runs per game overall and 1.0 runs per game at home.

Gavin Williams Gets The Start For The Guardians

Gavin Williams will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that July 30th outing vs. the Tigers, he went five innings, giving up just two hits and one walk. Looking at his overall numbers, Williams has made six starts and has a record of 1-3. His ERA for the season is 3.72, along with a WHIP of 1.34. Opposing batters have a batting average of .237 vs. Williams this season. Out of his six starts, Williams has one quality start and is averaging 9.62 strikeouts per nine innings.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Guardians offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 4.9 runs per contest (7th in the MLB). As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and have the 12th most home runs in the league. Both their on-base percentage and OPS are right around league average.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, as Ramirez’s 29 homers are 4th in the league, and Naylor is 10th with 23 homers. Ramirez’s 93 RBIs are 2nd in the league, and Naylor is 5th with 77. Over his last six games, Ramirez is 8/21 with five homers, and Naylor is 9/19 with a homer over his last five games.

Orioles vs Guardians Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Orioles vs. Guardians matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Guardians. With the Guardians’ money line sitting at +119, we see this as a great value pick and would recommend locking in this bet.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Gavin Williams is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Corbin Burnes at six. However, Williams is a better option to pick up the win, as he ranks eighth in our projections compared to Burnes at 12th.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.