Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 5/20/2024

The Baltimore Orioles (29-15) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (20-26) on Monday, May 20th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSMW. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 7:45 ET.

Orioles vs Cardinals

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Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Mariners with a 6-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -147. It was a big 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Mariners could only score three runs, all of which came in the top of the 2nd.

Corbin Burnes put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out 11. However, the Orioles needed Craig Kimbrel to close things out in the 9th, as the Mariners pulled to within three runs. Gunnar Henderson had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring twice.

Baltimore is 29-15 overall, putting them two games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Orioles have gone 7-2 against other AL East teams this year. They are starting this one on the road, where they are 12-5 compared to 17-10 at home.

So far, the Orioles have been really good as the underdog, going 7-1, and they are 6-5 when favored on the road. Baltimore has an overall series record of 10-3-2 heading into today’s game, and they won their most recent series vs. the Mariners.

When the Orioles win, they win by an average of 3.7 runs per game, which is a big reason why they are 24-20 against the run line this season. They are 10-7 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of 1.6 runs per game. They are 7-1 against the run line as an underdog.

The Orioles have played 31 games with an over/under line of 8 or higher this season, and the over has hit in 19 of them. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 22-18. In their last 10 games, the over has hit in 6 of them.

Dean Kremer Gets The Start For The Orioles

Right-hander Dean Kremer is getting the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. He has made a total of eight starts this year and has a record of 3-3 to go along with a 3.72 ERA. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.02. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Kremer has a total of three quality starts this year and is averaging 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs, but they also have the league’s best isolated power, and are 4th in the league in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. Baltimore has been especially good at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .247, which is the 6th best mark in the league.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been two of the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Rutschman’s nine homers being 2nd on the team and Henderson leading the club with 15 long balls. Henderson has gone deep five times in his last 10 games, batting .256 over that stretch. Jordan Westburg has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/37 in his last 10 games.

Lars Nootbaar had only one hit in the Cardinals’ 11-3 loss to the Red Sox, but it was a home run. St. Louis really struggled on the mound, as Matthew Liberatore took the loss and gave up four earned runs in just three innings of work. The Cardinals also issued three walks and hit a batter. Boston’s offense scored their json11 runs on 14 hits and only three home runs.

St. Louis started Matthew Liberatore, and he only lasted three innings, giving up four earned runs. The Cardinals also issued three walks in the loss. Lars Nootbaar had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Cardinals scored their other two runs in the 3rd inning.

The Cardinals are 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by seven games. So far this season, they have really struggled against other NL Central teams, going 1-6. St. Louis is 20-26 overall, and they are 8-12 at home compared to 12-14 on the road.

St. Louis will host the Orioles today with an overall series record of 7-8. They have won two straight series and are coming off a series win vs. the Red Sox. The Cardinals are 6-14 in day games this year and are 11-13 as the favorite.

When betting the run line on the Cardinals, it’s been a coin flip this season as they are 22-24. They have been a better bet on the road, going 12-14 compared to 10-10 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 13-9 compared to 9-15 as the favorite. Their average run differential on the season is -1.1 runs per game.

St. Louis has been a consistent over team this season, with a combined run average of 8.7. Their over/under record is 22-23, and their over streak is at six games. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. The Cardinals have played in 25 games with over/under lines higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 54.3% of their games this season.

Sonny Gray Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Sonny Gray will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up five earned runs in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Angels, he gave up two home runs. Gray has made four quality starts this year and has a record of 5-2 to go along with a 3.05 ERA. Looking at his home/away splits, Gray has been much better at home, coming in with a 0.95 ERA compared to 4.95 on the road. He has a record of 2-1 at home and 3-1 on the road.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

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Over his last eight games, Alec Burleson has gone 11/29 for the Cardinals, including two home runs and four RBIs. Paul Goldschmidt has also gone deep twice in that stretch, batting .306. Goldschmidt is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Nolan Gorman is also on a good stretch of play, going 7/23 in his last seven games, including two homers.

For the season, Gorman leads the Cardinals with seven home runs, but he is batting just .200. Willson Contreras is batting .280 with six homers, and Nolan Arenado has three homers while batting .276. Arenado has driven in a team-high 22 runs.

Orioles vs Cardinals Prediction

Our predictions for this Orioles vs. Cardinals matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout sitting at -108. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving you a few different ways you could look to bet this game.

If you’re looking for a player prop bet, we do have Sonny Gray finishing with more strikeouts than Dean Kremer, with Gray projected to finish with six K’s and Kremer with five.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.