Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 6/3/2024

The Baltimore Orioles (37-20) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (28-30) on Monday, June 3rd. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on None. The Blue Jays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rays. First pitch is set for 6:07 CT.

Orioles vs Blue Jays

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Baltimore is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 4-3 loss to Tampa Bay, Cole Irvin was excellent on the mound, allowing just two runs while pitching into the 6th inning. They also got a big offensive performance from Gunnar Henderson, going 3/3 with a homer and scoring three runs.

Dillon Tate took the loss out of the bullpen for the Orioles, as Baltimore allowed two runs in the top of the 8th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Orioles were favored at -130 at home.

The Orioles are 37-20 overall and trail the Yankees by three games for the AL East lead. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL East, going 11-4. Baltimore is currently on a four-game winning streak on the road, and they are 16-8 overall as the road team.

At home, the Orioles have gone 21-12 this year. They have also been really good as the favorite, going 30-18, and they are 7-2 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 13-4-2, and they have won three straight series.

The Orioles have been a solid bet against the run line this season, with a 32-25 record. They have been particularly good on the road, going 14-10 ATS, including covering in their last four road games. Baltimore’s average run margin for the season is +1.3 runs per game.

When the Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-22. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 8-3-2. Overall, 56.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs.

Grayson Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Orioles

Through nine starts, Grayson Rodriguez has a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.53. Looking at his overall numbers, Rodriguez has made four quality starts and is averaging 10.76 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of the keys for Rodriguez will be to limit the home run ball, as he has given up at least one homer in three of his last four outings. For the season, he has allowed five homers.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with both players having 10 home runs, which is 2nd in the league. Henderson is batting .268 for the season and is on a five-game hitting streak. He has also gone deep twice in his last six games, while batting .304 in that stretch. Anthony Santander is also on a good stretch of games, as he has homered twice in his last six games while going 10/22.

As a team, the Orioles are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 2nd ranked home run hitting team and have the best isolated power mark in the league. Baltimore also comes into the game with the league’s 2nd best slugging percentage.

The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, closing out their series with a 5-4 win. After allowing one run to the Pirates in the top of the first, the Blue Jays responded with a run of their own. Toronto went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.

Chris Bassitt got the start for the Blue Jays, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on eight hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

Toronto is 28-30 overall and is 12.5 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Blue Jays and Rays are both 12.5 games back, and they are in 4th place in the division. So far, they are 7-8 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Blue Jays are 14-13 this season, and they are 14-17 on the road. This year, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 6-14. As for their record as the favorite, they are 22-16. Toronto’s overall series record is 7-9-3, and they have won two straight series.

When the Toronto Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.2 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 4 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 28-30, but they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 17-14 vs. the run line. As an underdog, they are 9-11 vs. the run line, and they have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog.

The Blue Jays have been involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 8.5 runs per contest. Their over/under record is 25-32 on the season, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they are 8-8-1. The over has hit in two straight games for Toronto, and 41.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs.

Kevin Gausman Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Kevin Gausman is coming off a strong outing for the Blue Jays, as he picked up the win against the White Sox on May 28th. In that start, he went six innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking back at his last three outings, Gausman has finished with a no-decision in two of them. He has a record of 4-3 this season and an ERA of 4.14. Gausman’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.36. This year, he has made five starts at home and has a record of 1-1 with an 8.06 ERA.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Blue Jays offense has been a bit of a disappointment, as they are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .234, which is 12th in the league, and are 2nd in the league in strikeouts. One bright spot for the Blue Jays has been their ability to draw walks, as they are 6th in the league in that category.

Davis Schneider has been swinging a hot bat for the Blue Jays of late, going 7/26 in his last six games with two homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .245 with seven homers. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are tied for the team lead with 30 RBIs, with Varsho having 10 homers this season and Schneider at seven.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction

Our pick for today’s Orioles vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at +104. We actually have the Blue Jays winning this one 6-5, and with the payout sitting at +104, we think there is a good amount of value on the Blue Jays to pick up the win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Kevin Gausman finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for fourth best among today’s starters. As for Grayson Rodriguez, we have him finishing with five K’s, which ranks him near the bottom.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.