Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 8/6/2024

The Baltimore Orioles (67-46) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (51-61) on Tuesday, August 6th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on MASN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 6:07 CT.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-147)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Orioles have scored 6 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
  • The Orioles have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.
  • The Orioles have won 4 out of their last 5 games against the Blue Jays.
  • The Orioles have a better away record (33-21) compared to the Blue Jays’ home record (26-28).
  • The Orioles are currently on a 2-game winning streak.

Orioles vs Blue Jays

baltimore orioles nba

The Orioles Are Coming Off A Win

The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Guardians, closing out their series with a 9-5 win. After allowing one run to the Guardians in the bottom of the first, the Orioles responded with a run of their own and added two more in the 3rd. Baltimore went on to score another three runs in the 4th inning.

Corbin Burnes got the start for the Orioles, going five innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Today’s game will be crucial for the Orioles, as they are tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead with a 67-46 record. Baltimore is on a two-game winning streak after taking the final two games of their series against the Guardians. Their overall series record this season is 22-10-3.

When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, the Orioles have a 19-14 O/U record. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and their overall O/U record is 63-40. The run line has been favorable for Baltimore on the road, as they are 32-22 ATS. Straight up, they are 33-21 on the road and 34-25 at home.

Grayson Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Orioles

Grayson Rodriguez has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 13-4. His ERA for the season is 3.86, along with a WHIP of 1.24. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .237 this season. In his 20 appearances, Rodriguez has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 10.03 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking at his home/road splits, Rodriguez has a record of 7-2 on the road with a 4.88 ERA. At home, he is 6-2 with a 3.45 ERA. In his last outing, he gave up three earned runs and six hits in six innings of work. He did come away with the win in that outing.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Orioles have been the league’s top power-hitting team, as they lead the MLB with 174 home runs. As a team, they are also near the top of the league in runs per game (5.1), and their slugging percentage of .454 is the best in the league. Overall, the Orioles are 3rd in the league in team batting average (.256) and have the best isolated power rating in the league.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Santander leading the team with 32 homers and Henderson not far behind with 29. Santander has also been hot of late, going 11/38 in his last 10 games with three homers. Colton Cowser is also swinging a hot bat, hitting .375 over his last 10 games.

The Blue Jays Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 4-3 loss. Toronto was the +236 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Blue Jays, as they got on the board with two runs in the 2nd inning but couldn’t hold the lead. The Yankees scored a run in the 2nd and added another two in the 6th to pick up the win.

Yariel Rodriguez got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs. Offensively, the Blue Jays had seven hits but only scored three runs. Ernie Clement scored two runs and went 3/5 at the plate.

When favored, the Blue Jays have a 33-24 record straight up, but as underdogs, they are 18-37. Their overall record is 51-61, and they are currently 15.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. Toronto has covered the run line in two straight games and their run line record is 53-59.

For the season, Blue Jays games have averaged 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 61-48. The average total for their games has been 8 runs, with 54.5% of their games having lower totals than today’s 8.5 run line.

Chris Bassitt Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Chris Bassitt will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles today, as he is coming off a start in which he gave up five earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Overall, Bassitt has a record of 8-10 and an ERA of 4.02. Looking at his home/away splits, he has an ERA of 5.28 at home compared to 4.21 on the road. Bassitt has made 22 starts, and opponents are batting .264 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.41 strikeouts and 3.51 walks.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

toronto blue jays

So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 12th in the league, and are one of the league’s best teams at not striking out. However, their team OPS of .694 is 18th in the league.

One of the few bright spots for the Blue Jays offense has been Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is hitting .316 for the season with 22 homers and 72 RBIs. He has been even better of late, going 19/36 in his last nine games with four homers and 10 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. is also on a 17-game hitting streak. George Springer and Daulton Varsho are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both are batting under .230 for the season.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction

Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Blue Jays matchup is for the Orioles to pick up a win on the road by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking to place a bet on this game, we would recommend taking the Orioles on the money line, where you can get them at -147.

Looking at some potential player props, Chris Bassitt is projected to pick up six strikeouts compared to Grayson Rodriguez with five. Bassitt is also projected to go 6 innings, while Rodriguez is predicted to go 5. If you’re looking at some team props, the Orioles are predicted to hit four home runs, compared to the Blue Jays with one.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.