San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5/5/2024

The San Diego Padres (18-18) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-20) on Sunday, May 5th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.

Padres vs Diamondbacks

san diego padres nba

San Diego cruised to an easy 13-1 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 7th inning, scoring eight of their thirteen runs. As for the Diamondbacks, their only run came in the 9th inning.

Michael King started for the Padres and went six innings while giving up just one run and striking out three. He picked up a win in the game, while Brandon Pfaadt had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, taking the loss.

Jurickson Profar and Ha-Seong Kim each homered for the Padres, while Luis Arraez went 4/6 with an RBI. Manny Machado also had a three RBI game at the plate.

With their record at .500, the Padres are 2nd in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 4.5 games. The Padres have won four straight games, and this winning streak has come during the current series vs. the Diamondbacks. So far, they are 10-8 in divisional games.

San Diego has been good on the road this year, putting together a record of 10-6 compared to 8-12 at home. As the road favorite, the Padres are 4-2 this year, and they have won three straight as the favorite overall. Their overall series record is 5-5-2, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

The Padres have been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 19-17 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 13-3. Their average run differential on the season is +0.5 runs per game, but that number jumps to +2.0 runs per game on the road.

The Padres and Diamondbacks have played in games with an average of 9.7 runs per game this season. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9.5 runs, and the over/under record for the Padres this season is 19-16. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs this season, the over is 1-0. Overall, only 8.3% of the Padres’ games this season have had an over/under line set at 9.5 runs or higher.

Matt Waldron Gets The Start For The Padres

Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 4.36. Looking at his overall numbers, Waldron has a WHIP of 1.35 and opponents are batting .250 this year. Waldron’s only quality start came on the road, where he is 1-0 with an ERA of 1.1. At home, his ERA is 8.21, and he has allowed a total of four homers. In his last outing, Waldron gave up four earned runs in six innings of work.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best so far this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per game. The Padres are also among the league leaders in team batting average and on-base percentage. Their top home run hitter is Fernando Tatis Jr., who has seven home runs but is batting just .245 this season.

Jake Cronenworth has been on a tear for the Padres, going 10/26 in his last six games with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is 5th in the league in RBIs and has gone deep six times. Jurickson Profar has also been swinging a hot bat, going 13/23 in his last six games.

Arizona is hosting the Padres today with an overall record of 14-20, which has them 4th in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Giants by one game for the 3rd spot in the division and are 7.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks have lost three straight games, and they have gone just 3-7 over their last 10.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 8-10 this year compared to 6-10 on the road. Arizona has dropped three straight at home, and they are 2-5 as the home underdog this year. So far, they have an even series record of 3-6-1, and they have dropped three straight series.

Arizona is 15-19 on the run line this season, including an 8-10 mark at home. The Diamondbacks have lost three straight games against the run line at home and are 6-10 against the run line as the favorite this season. Their average run margin in winning games is +5.3, while it drops to -3.7 in losses.

Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 14 of 33 games this season, and the average over/under line in Diamondbacks games is 9.0 runs. The over/under line for tonight’s game is 9.5 runs, and the Diamondbacks’ games have had an average of 9.6 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs, the over is 2-3 this season.

Ryne Nelson Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Ryne Nelson is getting the start for the Diamondbacks at home against the Padres. This will be his second start of the year, and he is coming off a win in his first outing, where he went 6 innings and struck out 4. He has gone 2 innings in his other start, giving up 2 hits and no runs.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

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Heading into today’s game, the Diamondbacks offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in team batting average, hitting a collective .245. Arizona is also one of the better teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts and have the 5th most walks in the league.

Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/23 in his last seven games with three homers and five RBIs. Walker is 8th in the league with 22 RBIs and is also 4th in the league with seven home runs. Ketel Marte is batting .308 for the season and is currently on a six-game hitting streak.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line, with the payout being -119. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 6-5.

If you’re looking for a prediction on the over/under, we would take the over at 9.5 runs. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ryne Nelson finishing with more strikeouts than Matt Waldron.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.