The San Diego Padres (91-68) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (88-71) on Friday, September 27th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dodgers. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (-132)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs

• In the last 15 games, the Diamondbacks have scored 8 or more runs in 7 games, showcasing strong offensive performance.
• The Diamondbacks have won 5 of their last 7 home games, indicating a strong home-field advantage.
• In head-to-head matchups this season, the Diamondbacks have outscored the Padres 36-32.
• The Diamondbacks have a better overall home record (43-35) compared to the Padres’ away record (46-32).
• The Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 4 games against the Padres.

Padres vs Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks Took The Last Game Of This Series

San Diego closed out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 7-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Padres were the slight favorite at -110 on the money line. Things started off well for the Padres, as they got on the board with a run in the 5th inning but gave up the lead right away as the Dodgers scored five times in the bottom of the 5th.

Joe Musgrove put together a good start for the Padres, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out six. However, he took the loss, as the Padres’s offense scored only two runs. Manny Machado was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored.

San Diego’s overall series record is 30-16-6, and they are coming off winning seven of their last ten games. The Padres are 91-68, four games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, after losing the final two games of their series vs. LA.

On the road, the Padres have a 46-32 record straight up and a 49-29 run line record with an average run margin of +1.1. Their games this season have averaged 8.8 runs, and the over/under record is 81-74. When the O/U line is 9, their record is 6-4, with only 15 games featuring totals of 9 or higher.

Yu Darvish Gets The Start For The Padres

Right-hander Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with an ERA of 3.18. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. Looking at his overall numbers, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.72 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Darvish finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into today’s game as the top batting average team in the league, hitting a combined .264. They are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they have been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season. Overall, they are 8th in the league in runs per game, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.

Leading the Padres in home runs is Manny Machado, who is also 8th in the league in RBIs. Machado is batting .278 this season. Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill are also both near the top of the league in RBIs, as they have 85 and 89, respectively. Luis Arraez has been a good contact hitter for the Padres, batting .312 for the season.

The Diamondbacks Are Coming Off A Win

Pavin Smith was hot at the plate in the Diamondbacks’s most recent game vs. the Giants, going 3/3 with three RBIs and a homer. The Diamondbacks really broke things open with a three-run 2nd inning and added another three runs in the 4th. Going into the game, the Diamondbacks were at -257 on the money line.

Zac Gallen started for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up just one run on two hits. He also issued only two walks and struck out 11 Giants batters. Arizona’s bullpen closed things out with two scoreless innings, and the Diamondbacks’s offense added another two runs in the 8th to pick up the 8-2 win.

Arizona has an overall series record of 27-19-4 this season and they are currently 3rd in the NL West with an 88-71 record. The Diamondbacks have struggled at home recently, losing their last two series. On the run line, they are 83-76, with a +0.6 run margin per game.

This season, Diamondbacks games have averaged 10.4 runs, resulting in a 91-60 over/under record. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, they have a 19-11-4 record. Today, the O/U line is 9 runs for their game against the Padres.

Merrill Kelly Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Arizona is sending Merrill Kelly to the mound today vs. the Padres, and he has made 12 starts this season. Kelly has a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 3.71. Looking at his overall numbers, Kelly has a WHIP of 1.13 and has turned in five quality starts. In his last outing, he went five innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Kelly has allowed a total of 11 homers this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.28 strikeouts and 2.38 walks.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Diamondbacks are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.7 runs per game. Arizona also leads the MLB in on-base percentage and OPS. Their team batting average of .263 is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Arizona’s top power hitter this season has been Ketel Marte, who is 8th in the league with 35 homers. He is also batting .294 for the season and has gone 9/23 with three homers over his last seven games. Eugenio Suarez is also a big power threat, as he has 29 homers this season, which is 13th in the league.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -132. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us a good amount of value on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Yu Darvish is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and while we have Merrill Kelly finishing with five, we have Kelly picking up the win in 12th among starters compared to Darvish at seventh.

---

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

---

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.