The San Diego Padres (93-68) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (88-73) on Sunday, September 29th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 2:10 CT.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (-182)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- Diamondbacks have scored 5 or more runs in 9 of their last 15 games.
- Diamondbacks have a home record of 43-37, while the Padres have an away record of 48-32.
- Diamondbacks have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
- Diamondbacks have a recent head-to-head win against the Padres with a score of 9-1 on July 7th.
- Diamondbacks have a higher league rank (6th) compared to the Padres (4th) in their division.
Padres vs Diamondbacks
San Diego cruised to an easy 5-0 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 9th inning, scoring all five of their runs. Heading into the game, they were at +186 on the money line.
Randy Vásquez only went six innings for the Padres but didn’t give up a run and finished with four strikeouts. He picked up a win in the game, while Wandy Peralta got the save. Eduardo Rodriguez had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, giving up five earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Xander Bogaerts went 2/4 with two RBIs, while Donovan Solano also had a two-hit game and scored a run for San Diego. Kyle Higashioka and Brandon Lockridge each drove in a run for the Padres’ offense.
San Diego has a 93-68 record and is 2nd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by four games. They have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games and have won two in a row. As underdogs, the Padres are 33-25 and on the run line, they are 51-29 on the road and 84-77 overall.
The O/U line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, and the Padres’ O/U record is 81-76 this season. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs, and the average O/U line is 8 runs. The O/U record in games with a total of 9 runs is 6-6, and their current O/U streak is under 2 games.
Martín Pérez Gets The Start For The Padres
Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. So far this season, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 4.25. Looking at his overall numbers, Pérez has a WHIP of 1.45 and has issued 3.22 walks per nine innings compared to 7.13 strikeouts. Pérez has made eight quality starts this year and is coming off a outing where he gave up just one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three walks and two homers. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego comes into today’s game with the league’s top batting average at .264 and are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Collectively, they are the league’s top team in terms of fewest strikeouts per game.
Manny Machado has been a big run producer for the Padres this season, as his 105 RBIs are 7th best in the league. He also leads the team with 29 home runs. Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill are also near the top of the Padres’ home run leaderboard, as they have both gone deep 24 times. Luis Arraez has been a solid all-around hitter for the Padres, batting .314 with an OBP of .346.
Arizona is 88-73 overall and in 3rd place in the NL West, nine games behind the Dodgers. They have a 27-24 record in divisional games and are 52-34 when favored. The Diamondbacks have a 83-78 run line record this season and their games have averaged 10.3 runs.
For games with a total of 9 runs, Arizona’s O/U record is 19-13-4. The under has hit in their last two games, and their overall O/U record is 91-62.
Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks
Arizona is sending Brandon Pfaadt to the mound today vs. the Padres, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants. In that start, he gave up four earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Pfaadt has allowed at least four earned runs in each outing. His record for the season is 10-10, and his ERA is 4.80. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is 1.25, and he has a total of 13 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.98 strikeouts and just 2.09 walks.
Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Diamondbacks are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Not only do they have the league’s top on-base percentage, but they also have the 2nd best team batting average and slugging percentage. Arizona also has the 5th most home runs in the league.
Arizona’s top power hitter this season has been Eugenio Suarez, who is 2nd on the team with 29 home runs and is 11th in the league with 99 RBIs. However, he is batting just .253 this season. Ketel Marte has been a great all-around hitter for the Diamondbacks, batting .291 with 35 homers and 93 RBIs. Corbin Carroll has a five-game hitting streak and is batting .316 over his last five games.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction
Our prediction for this Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line, as we see them winning this one by a score of 6-5. However, with the Diamondbacks at -182 on the money line, we actually like the over in this one, as the line is sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at some of the projections for today’s starters, we have Brandon Pfaadt finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among starters. As for Martin Perez, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is the fourth-worst among starters.
Offensively, our projections have the Diamondbacks finishing with 10 hits compared to the Padres with 10. However, the Padres are actually projected to finish with more home runs than the Diamondbacks.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 29, 2024 Diamondbacks, Padres