The San Diego Padres (37-38) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (47-24) on Monday, June 17th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on None. Both the Padres and Phillies are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Padres vs Phillies
Led by a big game by Luis Campusano at the plate, the Padres are coming off a game in which they scored six runs on 10 hits. However, they still took the loss, as the Mets scored 11 runs. San Diego was the -144 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Dylan Cease had a rough outing, giving up seven earned runs on seven hits and issuing three walks. He only lasted 3 2/3 innings, taking the loss.
San Diego is eight games behind the Dodgers in the NL West as they are 37-38 overall. The Padres have dropped three straight games, losing the final game of their series vs. the Mets and the first two games of this series vs. the Phillies. So far, they are 14-15 in divisional games.
At home, the Padres are 18-21 this season, and they have gone 19-17 on the road. As the underdog, San Diego has dropped three straight, and their overall record as the underdog is 13-15. The Padres’ series record is 13-9-3 this year and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
San Diego has been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 25-11. They have covered the run line in two straight road games, but overall they are just 38-37 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 19-9 against the run line, compared to 19-28 as the favorite.
San Diego is on the road today against Philadelphia with the over/under set at 9.5 runs. The Padres have played to an average combined run total of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-37. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over is 4-1 in their games. Only 4% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, with the majority of their games having lower lines.
Randy Vásquez Gets The Start For The Padres
Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made eight starts and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 4.93. Vásquez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.51. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on seven hits. Looking back over his last three outings, Vásquez has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 6.1 strikeouts per nine innings.
Padres Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Padres are batting .259 this season, which is the best mark in the league. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .325 is also one of the best in the league. San Diego’s offense has been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been two of the Padres’ top power threats this season, as they both have 10 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 13th in the league. Profar’s 46 RBIs are the best on the team and 10th in the MLB. Fernando Tatis Jr. also has 13 homers, which is the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. Over his last seven games, Jackson Merrill is hitting .360 with four home runs.
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with an 8-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 5th inning before the Orioles scored four runs in the 5th. Philadelphia was the +116 underdog on the money line going into the game.
Zack Wheeler had a rough outing, giving up eight earned runs on nine hits and issuing two walks. Alec Bohm was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored and two RBIs. The Phillies also wasted a big game from Bryce Harper, who went 2/4 with a double and a run scored.
With a record of 47-24, the Phillies lead the NL East by eight games over the Braves. The Phillies have dropped two straight games, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Orioles. This year, they have gone 12-6 in divisional games.
At home, the Phillies are 27-10 this season, and they have gone 20-14 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, putting up a record of 32-12 this year. As the favorite, the Phillies are 41-18, and they are 6-6 as the underdog.
When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. That’s why they have a strong run line record overall at 38-33. At home, their run line record is 20-17, and their average run margin is 1.8 runs per game. They have been favored in 59 games and have a run line record of 32-27 in those games. They have a run line losing streak as the favorite of two games.
The Philadelphia Phillies are playing at home against the San Diego Padres today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 31-35. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 0-3. Only 5.6% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, with the majority of their games (90.1%) having lower lines.
Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 3-3 with a 3.07 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is 1.39, and opponents are batting .264 off him this year. In his 13 starts, Sánchez has turned in six quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Sánchez finished with a no-decision after giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed more than one earned run in three straight outings.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and are batting .252 as a team. Philadelphia’s offense has been very patient at the plate, as they are 3rd in the league in walks.
Over his last 10 games, Kyle Schwarber has been swinging a hot bat, going 13/40 with three home runs and eight RBIs. For the season, Schwarber is 2nd on the team with 14 homers and is batting .248. Alec Bohm has also been swinging a good bat of late, as he is on a three-game hitting streak and is 2nd on the team with a .302 batting average.
Padres vs Phillies Prediction
Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. However, we are recommending that you take the under, as the line is currently sitting at 9.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, then the Phillies are a good option with a payout of -178. Looking at today’s starters, we have Christopher Sanchez finishing with five strikeouts compared to Randy Vasquez with five.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 17, 2024 Padres, Phillies