The San Diego Padres (54-50) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (47-55) on Thursday, July 25th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on MASN. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 11:05 CT.

Padres vs. Nationals Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Nationals (+155)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs

• The Nationals have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 home games.
• Washington has won 4 of their last 5 home games.
• The Nationals have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, compared to the Padres’ 5-5 record.
• In their last 3 home games, the Nationals have averaged 6 runs per game.
• Washington has a better home record (23-26) compared to San Diego’s away record (28-22).

Padres vs Nationals

San Diego cruised to a 12-3 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their twelve runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only three runs in the 1st. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -110.

Matt Waldron got the win for the Padres, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. Mitchell Parker had a rough outing for the Nationals, taking the loss after going just three innings and giving up six earned runs.

Xander Bogaerts and Jackson Merrill each had four hits for the Padres’ offense. Bogaerts, Kyle Higashioka, and Jurickson Profar each homered for San Diego. Juan Yepez hit the game’s only other home run for the Nationals.

San Diego’s overall series record is 18-13-3, and they have won three straight series on the road while dropping three straight series at home. The Padres are 26-28 at home and 28-22 on the road this season. Their four-game winning streak has come as the road team, and they are 54-50 overall, 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West.

This season, the Padres are 31-14 on the run line as underdogs and 35-15 on the road. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 54-49. When the total has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit 14 times and the under 11 times, accounting for 16.3% of their games.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease has been pitching well for the Padres, coming into the game with a record of 9-8 and an ERA of 3.76. In his 21 starts, Cease has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 11.73 strikeouts per nine innings. Cease’s most recent outing was a gem, as he went seven innings vs. the Guardians, picking up the win and not allowing a run. He gave up just one hit in that outing. Before that, Cease had allowed at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Cease has been much better at home, with an ERA of 3.46 compared to 5.44 on the road.

Padres Offense Breakdown

Currently, the Padres are the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .262. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are 1st in home runs. So far, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. San Diego has been a better team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game.

Jurickson Profar has been one of the Padres’ top hitters this season, with a batting average of .300 and 16 home runs, which is 14th in the league. His 62 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 15th in the MLB. However, he has hit just .186 over his last 10 games, with two homers. Jake Cronenworth is also near the top of the Padres’ home run leaderboard, but he has struggled of late, going just 7/39 in his last 10 games.

Washington is 47-55 overall and has lost two straight games heading into today’s matchup. They are 4th in the NL East, 17 games behind the Phillies. The Nationals have a 16-15 record in divisional games this season.

As underdogs, the Nationals are 37-46 straight up and 48-35 against the run line. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs, resulting in a 49-49 over/under record. In games with an 8.5 run total, their record is 15-16.

Patrick Corbin Gets The Start For The Nationals

Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 2-9 with a 5.35 ERA. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is 1.49, and opponents are batting .287 off him this year. In his last outing, Corbin picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Corbin has given up at least one homer in each of his last four outings. So far, he has made five quality starts.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense has been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league this season, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. As a team, they are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. However, they do have the league’s top home run hitter in CJ Abrams, who also leads the team with 49 RBIs.

Juan Yepez comes into the game on a 15 game hitting streak and has been on fire of late, going 11/27 with two homers and six RBIs over his last seven games. For the season, Yepez is hitting .262 with an OBP of .333.

Padres vs Nationals Prediction

Our predicted score for this game is 6-5 in favor of the Nationals, which is why we would recommend taking them on the money line at +155. At this price, you could also look to take them on the run line, as we have them winning by one run.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Patrick Corbin finishing with six strikeouts compared to Dylan Cease with six. However, we have Corbin finishing with a better ERA than Cease, and if you’re looking at a player prop, Corbin’s strikeout line is at four.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.