Philadelphia vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Philadelphia vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 4/10/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (5-6) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (6-6) on Wednesday, April 10th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSMW. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 1:15 ET.

Phillies vs Cardinals

philadelphia phillies nba

The Cardinals picked up a 3-0 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. St. Louis was actually out-hit in the game, as the Phillies finished with eight hits compared to seven for the Cardinals. However, the only run they needed came in the 4th inning, and they added some insurance with two runs in the 5th.

Nolan Gorman provided the only run needed for the Cardinals, going 2/4 with a home run. Alec Burleson also scored a run for the Cardinals. As for the Phillies, Trea Turner went 2/3 with a stolen base.

Zack Wheeler took the loss for the Phillies, despite not giving up an earned run in his seven innings of work. Sonny Gray got the start for the Cardinals and didn’t give up a run in his five innings of work. Ryan Helsley picked up the save.

After dropping the first game of the series, the Phillies bounced back to win the second game against the Cardinals. They are currently 5-6 on the season and are in 2nd place in the NL East, 2.5 games behind the Braves. So far, they have gone 3-3 against division opponents.

Philadelphia has been better on the road this season, going 3-2 compared to just 2-4 at home. They have also fared better as the underdog, going 2-2 compared to 3-4 as the favorite.

The Phillies have a run line record of 5-6 this season, with a run line record of 2-4 at home and 3-2 on the road. Their average run margin is -0.8 runs per game, but they have a positive run differential on the road, outscoring opponents by an average of 1.0 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog, and their average run differential in wins is +3.0 runs per game.

The Philadelphia Phillies have been trending towards the under this season, with their games averaging just 8.3 runs per contest. Their over/under record is 5-6, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. However, when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the under has hit in all three games. Overall, the under has hit in six straight Phillies games, with their last game against the Cardinals finishing with just three runs scored.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Heading into his start against the Cardinals, Aaron Nola has a win and a loss so far this season. He started the year with a loss to the Braves, where he gave up 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings. In his last outing, he picked up the win against the Nationals, going 5 2/3 innings and striking out 4.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

For the Phillies, we have Trea Turner projected to have the most hits on the team, with his total being the 19th best in the league today. Kyle Schwarber has the highest home run projection on the team, and his total is the 6th best in the league. Bryce Harper has the 2nd best total on the team in terms of both hits and home runs. His home run projection is 7th best in the league today.

St. Louis is currently in 5th place in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by three games. They have a record of 6-6 and have yet to play a divisional game. The Cardinals have a home record of 3-2 and have gone 3-4 on the road.

So far, St. Louis has gone 2-1 in their series against the Phillies, and they have won two games in a row. They are 4-4 as an underdog this season and 1-0 as a home underdog.

When the Cardinals are the underdog, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 6-2 in those games. They have also covered the run line in six straight games as the underdog. Their average run differential in those games is -0.3 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of 3.3 runs in their losses.

St. Louis has seen its over/under line set at 8.5 runs for the second straight game, and the Cardinals are 4-3 in games with that line this season. The Cards have gone under in two straight games, and their over/under record for the season is 5-6.

Lance Lynn Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Coming off of a no-decision in his first start of the season, Lance Lynn will be taking the mound for the Cardinals at home against the Phillies. In his first start of the season, Lynn went 4 innings, giving up 4 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks, but did strike out 7 batters. He also went 4 innings in his first start, but did not allow a run.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

st. louis cardinals

Our player projections for the Cardinals’ offense have Willson Contreras as the top power threat in the lineup, as he has the best odds to hit a home run on the team and the 13th best odds in the league today. If you’re looking for a longshot, Nolan Gorman is our 14th best bet in the league to hit a home run. As for total hits, Brendan Donovan has the best odds to have a productive day at the plate, with the 24th best total hits projection in the league.


Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction


With the Cardinals being the underdogs at +114, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Cardinals, meaning that you could also look to take the over if you’re looking for a run total bet.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Lance Lynn is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Aaron Nola with five. Lynn is also projected to finish with fewer hits allowed than Nola. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to take Lynn to out pitch Nola and the Cardinals to pick up the win.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.