Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 6/14/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (46-22) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (45-23) on Friday, June 14th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. Both the Phillies and Orioles are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.

Phillies vs Orioles

philadelphia phillies nba

The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 9-3 loss. Philadelphia was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Red Sox scored four times in the 2nd.

Aaron Nola took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings, and giving up eight earned runs on 11 hits. Kyle Schwarber was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a double, three RBIs, and a run scored. The Phillies’s other run came in the 4th, when they loaded the bases and Nola drove in a run with a single.

Philadelphia is on the road today to take on the Orioles, having dropped two straight games. Currently, the Phillies lead the NL East with a record of 46-22, putting them nine games ahead of the Braves. So far, they have gone 12-6 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Phillies have been really good this year, going 27-10, and they are 19-12 on the road. This season, they have been really good in night games, going 31-11. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 41-18 and 5-4 as the underdog. Philadelphia lost two of their three games in their most recent series vs. the Red Sox.

The Phillies have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 37-31 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 20-17, but have also been profitable on the road at 17-14. Their average run margin for the season is +1.5 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 3.1 runs per game in their losses.

The Phillies are on the road against the Orioles today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 29-35. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 5-10. So far this season, 66.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.

Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces off against the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 10-1. Suárez’s ERA is currently 1.81, and he has a WHIP of .85. In his 13 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and eight quality starts. The left-hander has been pitching well recently, as he has given up just two earned runs in each of his last two outings. Suárez most recently pitched on June 8th, where he got the win and went 5 2/3 innings vs. the Mets.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. The Phillies are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they have the 4th best team batting average in the league.

Over his last seven games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 10/27 with two homers and six RBIs. This has pushed his season-long batting average to .249. Schwarber’s 13 home runs is 2nd on the team and 8th in the league. Alec Bohm has been a consistent run producer for the Phillies, as his 52 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 4th in the MLB.

The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 6-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Braves scored three runs in the top of the 7th. Baltimore was the -114 favorite at home going into the game.

Cole Irvin got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on nine hits. Kyle Stowers had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Jordan Westburg had a good day at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored.

Baltimore is 45-23 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL East, 2.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. They have been really good in divisional games this year, going 17-6. The Orioles are coming off winning their series vs. the Braves, taking two of three games.

At home, the Orioles are 23-13 this year compared to a 22-10 mark on the road. As the favorite, Baltimore is 37-19 and 8-4 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 15-4-3, and they have won two straight series.

The Orioles have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 42-26 overall. They are 20-16 against the run line at home and 22-10 on the road. They have been favored in 56 games and have covered the run line in 32 of those contests. They have an average run margin of +1.6 runs per game this season.

The Orioles have played in 52 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 8.6 runs per game. So far, the over/under record for Baltimore games is 33-26, and when the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 4-4.

Kyle Bradish Gets The Start For The Orioles

Kyle Bradish gets the start for the Orioles today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t allow a run. In that June 8th start vs. the Rays, he went six innings, picking up the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Bradish has made seven starts, has a record of 2-0, and an ERA of 2.62. Opponents are batting .188 this season vs. Bradish. One area he will look to improve is his ERA at home, which is currently 7.77. Bradish has made two quality starts this season.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Orioles offense has been the best in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game and leading the MLB with 107 home runs. As a team, they are also the league leaders in slugging percentage and isolated power. Baltimore’s offense has been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.

Adley Rutschman has been the Orioles’ top run producer this season, as his 50 RBIs are 5th best in the league. He has also been a strong all-around hitter, batting .294 with 13 homers. Gunnar Henderson has been even better in the power department, as his 21 homers are 2nd in the league. Henderson has also gone 9/26 in his last six games, with two homers and five RBIs.

Phillies vs Orioles Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Orioles vs. Phillies matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Orioles. With the money line sitting at -131 for the Orioles, we see this as a great payout for a team that we have coming out on top.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Kyle Bradish is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he has the Orioles finishing with 8 team strikeouts. As for Ranger Suarez, we have him ending the game with five K’s.

Offensively, we have the Orioles finishing with 8 hits compared to the Phillies with 8. The Orioles are also projected to hit more home runs, with the Orioles ranking sixth in the league in home runs on today’s slate.

As for the Phillies, they are projected to finish with five runs compared to the Phillies with six.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.