Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 6/12/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (46-20) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (33-34) on Wednesday, June 12th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NBC10. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Phillies vs Red Sox

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Philadelphia cruised to a 4-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 1st inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only run in the 1st and were held in check the rest of the game.

Zack Wheeler pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued a rare walk. Jose Alvarado closed things out. Kutter Crawford had a rough outing for the Red Sox, taking the loss.

Kyle Schwarber hit two homers for the Phillies while going 2/4 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Bryson Stott also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. David Hamilton was the only Red Sox hitter to have more than one hit.

Philadelphia is 46-20 overall this season, and they lead the NL East by 10 games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox, and their record in the NL East is 12-6 this year.

At home, the Phillies have gone 27-10, and they are 19-10 on the road. This season, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 30-10. As the favorite, the Phillies are 41-16 and 5-4 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 14-5-4 this year.

When betting the run line, the Phillies have been a solid play this season, going 37-29 overall. They have been especially good on the road, with a 17-12 mark. Their average run margin for the season is +1.7 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in three straight games.

Philadelphia is on the road to face the Boston Red Sox, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies have had a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 27-35. Their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs, and they are 4-8 in games with a line set at 8.5 runs. Philadelphia has played 12 games with a line set at 8.5 runs this season, accounting for 18.2% of their games, and they are currently on a seven-game under streak.

Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 3-3 with an ERA of 2.71. Sánchez most recently faced the Brewers, where he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that outing, he had gone 1-0 with two no-decisions in his previous three starts. Sánchez has allowed one homer in three straight outings.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 5th ranked offense in terms of batting average, hitting a collective .254. Philadelphia also does a good job of avoiding strikeouts and are 3rd in the league in walks.

Philadelphia’s top power hitters this season have been Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, who have 15 and 13 homers, respectively. Harper’s 45 RBIs are 2nd on the team, and Schwarber is 3rd with 38 RBIs. Schwarber has also been hot of late, going 6/20 in his last five games with two homers.

Boston is 33-34 overall and trails the Yankees by 14 games for the AL East lead. The Red Sox are in 4th place in the AL East and are 5-8 in divisional games this year. The Red Sox will be looking to pick up a win today, as they lost the first game of the series vs. the Phillies.

At home, the Red Sox are 14-19 this year and 19-15 on the road. As the underdog, Boston is 14-20 this year and 3-7 as the home underdog. The Red Sox have dropped four straight games as the underdog. So far, they are 19-14 as the favorite. Boston’s overall series record is 8-9-4 this year.

When the Red Sox are favored, they are just 12-21 against the run line this season. However, when they are the underdog, they are 18-16. Their overall run line record is 30-37, and their average run margin is +0.4 runs per game. They have gone under the run line in four straight games.

Today’s over/under line for the Boston Red Sox game against the Philadelphia Phillies is set at 8.5 runs. The Red Sox have played 62 games this season, and their average combined run total is also 8.5 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 28-34, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 12-11. So far this season, 22.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Nick Pivetta Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Nick Pivetta gets the start for the Red Sox today and will be facing his former team, the Phillies. So far this season, he has made eight starts and has a record of 3-4. Pivetta’s ERA for the season is 3.40, along with a WHIP of .94. In his last outing, he pitched really well, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He only allowed one hit in that outing. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight starts. Pivetta has a total of three quality starts this season.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

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Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 8th in the league, and have the 9th most home runs in the MLB this season. Boston has been striking out a lot this season, averaging 9 strikeouts per game.

Rafael Devers comes into the game as the Red Sox’s leader in home runs, with 13, and is 2nd on the team with 32 RBIs. He is also batting .278 for the season. Devers has three homers over his last nine games and has gone 9/33 over that stretch. Ceddanne Rafaela is the team’s current home run leader, but he is batting just .210 for the season.

Phillies vs Red Sox Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Phillies vs. Red Sox game is to take the Red Sox on the money line, with the payout being +103. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Nick Pivetta is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him as the eighth best among all starters today. As for Cristopher Sanchez, he is also projected to finish with six K’s, giving him the same projection as Pivetta.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.