Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 6/13/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (46-21) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (34-34) on Thursday, June 13th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NESN. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Phillies vs Red Sox

philadelphia phillies nba

Boston picked up an 8-6 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 5th inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +103 on the money line.

Nick Pivetta only went four innings for the Red Sox but gave up just two hits and four earned runs. Cam Booser got the win out of the bullpen, and Kenley Jansen got the save. Cristopher Sanchez had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss.

David Hamilton hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Jarren Duran also had a good game at the plate, going 3/5 with an RBI.

With an overall record of 46-21, the Phillies lead the NL East by 10 games over the Braves. The Phillies have gone 12-6 in divisional games this year. This season, they have been really good at home, going 27-10, and they have gone 19-11 on the road.

Philadelphia has been really good in night games this year, going 31-10. They have also been good as the favorite, putting together a mark of 41-17. As the underdog, the Phillies are 5-4 this year. The Phillies’ series record is 14-5-4 this year.

When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.0 runs per game. Their run line record is 37-30, and they are 17-13 against the run line on the road. As the favorite, they are 32-26 against the run line.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road against the Boston Red Sox today. The Over/Under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies have an average combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season. Their Over/Under record for the season is 28-35, and their average Over/Under line is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 4-8. So far this season, 12 of their games have had Over/Under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 17.9% of their games. In the other 64.2% of their games, the lines have been set below 8.5 runs.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Nola has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 8-2 with a 2.77 ERA. So far, he has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 1.88. Nola’s ERA at home is 4.03. In his last outing, he didn’t give up a run and got the win, going seven innings of work. Nola has one shutout and nine quality starts this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.11 strikeouts and 2.35 walks.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. This is a result of their strong home and road splits, as they are averaging 5.4 runs per game at home and 4.8 runs per game on the road. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 5th best batting average at .254.

Over his last five games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 7/20 with two homers and three RBIs. For the season, he is 2nd on the team with 13 homers but is batting just .241. Alec Bohm has been the Phillies’ top hitter this season, batting .286 with a team-leading 52 RBIs. Bryce Harper is just behind him with 46 RBIs and is 6th in the league with 15 homers.

Boston is looking to get back above .500 today, as they are currently 34-34 and trail the Yankees by 14 games in the AL East. So far, they have gone just 5-8 in divisional games. The Red Sox are also looking to get above .500 at home, as they are 15-19 at Fenway Park.

As for how they have fared on the road, the Red Sox are 19-15 this season. They will be playing the Phillies at home today, and Boston’s overall series record is 8-9-4 this year. So far, they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.

The Red Sox have a run line record of 31-37 this season, including 11-23 at home. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4, but they have a scoring margin of -0.4 at home and +1.3 on the road. As the favorite, they have a run line record of 12-21, while they are 19-16 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.5, compared to -3.6 in losses.

When the Red Sox play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs on average, and their games have averaged exactly 8.5 runs per game. The over/under record for the Red Sox this season is 29-34, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-11. Overall, 22.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and 44.1% have had lines set lower than that.

Tanner Houck Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Tanner Houck has been outstanding this season, coming into the game with a record of 6-5 and an ERA of 1.91. So far, he has made 13 starts and has one complete game shutout. Houck has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.89 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Looking back over his last four starts, he has allowed a total of four earned runs. Opponents are batting .196 this season off the right-hander.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

boston red sox

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 8th in the league, and have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league. Boston has been good at putting the ball in play this season, as their .31 BABIP is the 3rd best mark in the league.

Rafael Devers has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 13 homers are the best mark on the team and 8th best in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 32 RBIs and comes into the game having gone 7/25 in his last 7 games. Jarren Duran has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/35 in his last 8 games, and he is on a 3 game hitting streak.

Phillies vs Red Sox Prediction

Our pick for this Phillies vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -101. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the Red Sox being the underdogs, there is also some good value in taking them on the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Tanner Houck finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for fourth among all starters. As for Aaron Nola, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is sixth best. However, we have Nola giving up six hits, compared to Houck, who is projected to give up just four.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.