The Philadelphia Phillies (14-8) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (12-9) on Monday, April 22nd. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.
Phillies vs Reds
The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the White Sox, closing out their series with an 8-2 win. After allowing two runs to the White Sox in the top of the first, the Phillies responded with three runs of their own. Philadelphia went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.
Aaron Nola put together a good start for the Phillies, going eight innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Philadelphia’s offense was carried by Kyle Schwarber, who went 1/1 with a homer and three RBIs.
As the Phillies are on the road today vs. the Reds, they are riding a six-game winning streak. In the NL East, they are just one game behind the Braves, as they hold a 14-8 record. This season, the Phillies are 10-6 at home and 4-2 on the road.
Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 4-2-1, and they have won each of their last two series. When favored, they are 12-6 this season compared to 2-2 as the underdog.
The Phillies have a run differential of +0.5 runs per game this season, and they have gone 10-12 against the run line. They are 3-3 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +1.0 runs per game. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 8-10 against the run line as the favorite.
The Philadelphia Phillies have had a combined run average of 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 9-13. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 1-6, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. The over has hit in their last two games, and their games have had an average of 8.5 runs per game this season.
Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Ranger Suárez has been impressive in his first three starts of the season, and he has yet to allow an earned run. He has picked up wins in each of his first two starts, and in his most recent outing, he went the distance against the Rockies, giving up just one run. Suarez struck out eight in that start and has 20 K’s on the year.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
For the Phillies, we have Trea Turner as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits today. His total hits projection is 13th best in the league. Bryce Harper has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the team and his total hits projection is 19th best in the league. If you are looking for a Phillies player to hit a home run, Kyle Schwarber has the top odds on the team and his home run projection is 2nd best in the league today. Bryce Harper has the 3rd best odds to hit a home run on the team and 3rd best in the league today.
The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with a 3-0 win. After allowing the Angels to score 12 runs in the first two games of the series, the Reds needed a big performance from their pitching staff, and that’s exactly what they got. Cincinnati’s Emilio Pagan got the start, going two-thirds of an inning, and the Reds’s bullpen picked up the win, going a combined ‘th innings.
Frankie Montas was the first out of the bullpen for the Reds, and he picked up the win. He tossed two-thirds of an inning, and the Reds’s offense scored three runs in the bottom of the 6th. Jeimer Candelario went 2/3 with a run scored and a RBI.
Cincinnati will be closing out their series vs. the Phillies today, as they currently lead the series, taking two of the three games. Overall, the Reds are 12-9 and are in 3rd place in the NL Central. They are just 2.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead.
The Reds come into today’s game on a three-game winning streak, which followed a three-game losing streak. At home, they have gone 7-5 this season and are just above .500 at 5-4 on the road. Cincinnati has been good in day games, going 7-3 so far.
The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 11-10 overall. They are 6-6 at home and 5-4 on the road. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 8-5 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.2 runs.
The Cincinnati Reds have played in 21 games this season, with 13 of them going over the total. The average total in their games this season is 9 runs, and the average combined runs in their games is 9.7. When the total has been set at 8.5 runs, their games have gone 1-1 O/U. In games with a total set higher than 8.5 runs, the O/U record is 12-7, and in games with a total set lower than 8.5 runs, the O/U record is 1-6.
Hunter Greene Gets The Start For The Reds
Hunter Greene will be making his 4th start of the season for the Reds, and it will be his first start at home. So far, he has a no-decision and a loss in his first two starts, but he’s been racking up the strikeouts, with 8 in his first start and 9 in his last outing. Greene has given up 4 homers in his first 3 starts.
Reds Offense Breakdown
If you’re looking for some player props for the Reds, Christian Encarnacion-Strand is our top projected hitter for the team. He not only has the highest total hits projection on the team, but he also has the best odds to hit a home run for the Reds. In fact, his home run projection is 6th best in the league today. Spencer Steer is also a solid option, as his total hits projection is 2nd on the team and his home run projection is 2nd best on the Reds and 11th best in the league today.
Phillies vs Reds Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Phillies vs. Reds matchup is to take the Reds on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at +102. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving us some room to spare in terms of the over/under line, which is at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Hunter Greene actually has a better chance of picking up a win than Ranger Suarez. Greene is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Suarez, he is projected to finish with five K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:April 22, 2024 Phillies, Reds