Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 4/23/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-8) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (12-10) on Tuesday, April 23rd. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on NSPPH. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Phillies vs Reds

philadelphia phillies nba

Philadelphia cruised to a 7-0 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 3rd inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Reds, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but stranded two runners. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -113 on the money line.

Ranger Suarez pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going seven innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Hunter Greene struggled on the mound for the Reds, giving up four runs in seven innings of work.

Kody Clemens hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Alec Bohm and Nick Castellanos each had two hits and drove in a run for Philadelphia’s offense.

Philadelphia is currently on a seven-game winning streak, with their most recent win coming in the opener vs. the Reds. Looking at the NL East standings, the Phillies are in 2nd place, just one game behind the Braves. So far, they are 3-3 in games against other teams in the NL East.

The Phillies have been good at home this year, going 10-6, and they have gone 5-2 on the road. For the season, they are 13-6 when favored and 2-2 as the underdog. Their overall record is 15-8, and they have won two straight games as the series vs. the Reds is ongoing.

When the Phillies win, they win by an average of 3.5 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 4.2 runs per game. Their run line record is 11-12, and they have covered the run line in four straight games. They are 9-10 against the run line as the favorite and 2-2 as the underdog. Their overall run line record is 11-12.

When the Phillies play, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs only 8.7% of the time. So far this season, the over/under record for Phillies games is 9-14, and their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. The Phillies’ games have gone over the over/under line in just one of the seven games where the line was set at 8.5 runs.

Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Cristopher Sánchez is on the mound for the Phillies in their game against the Reds. This will be his 4th start of the season, and he has a win and 2 no-decisions so far. Sánchez has been pretty consistent, as he has gone 5, 6, and 4 1/3 innings in his first 3 starts, with his last start being a win over the Rockies, where he struck out 10 batters.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia’s offense comes into the game averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are 4th in home runs and are batting .247, which is 9th in the league. Alec Bohm has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/23 in his last seven games with two homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .295 with three homers.

Kyle Schwarber is 4th in the league with six homers but is batting just .209 for the season. He has gone just 3/24 in his last seven games. Trea Turner is also one of the Phillies’ top hitters, as he is batting .340 for the season and has gone 13/31 in his last seven games. Turner also has a current 11-game hitting streak.

Cincinnati is 12-10 overall this season and are in 3rd place in the NL Central. The Reds are 2.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 1-2 in games against other teams in the NL Central. The Reds lost the final game of their series vs. the Angels but won three straight games before that.

As the underdog, Cincinnati has lost four straight games, and they are 3-6 overall as the underdog this year. The Reds are 9-4 when favored and have gone 7-6 at home compared to 5-4 on the road. So far, they have an overall series record of 4-3.

When the Reds win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs per game. Their run line record is 11-11, and they are 8-5 against the run line as the favorite. They are 6-7 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game.

The Cincinnati Reds have a combined run average of 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 13-9. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 1-1. The Reds have played 12 games with over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, and their games have gone over that line 54.5% of the time. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds

Andrew Abbott and the Reds will be hosting the Phillies today, and Abbott is making his 4th start of the season. He has a win and a loss on his record so far, and in his last start, he went 6 innings and took the loss against the Mariners. Abbott has 13 strikeouts in 18 innings of work this season.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 6/15 in his last six games with two homers and five RBIs. Overall, he is batting .293 with a team-high six homers. De La Cruz’s 15 RBIs are 2nd on the team, just ahead of Tyler Stephenson, who has 10 RBIs but is batting just .189 this season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. Their team batting average of .219 is just 22nd in the league, and they also have a below-average on-base percentage and OPS. However, they are 4th in the league in isolated power.


Phillies vs Reds Prediction


With the Reds being the home team and getting +107 on the money line, that is the bet we recommend making. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Reds, giving you a good payout if you decide to go with a Reds win.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also consider taking the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs. However, we have this one finishing with nine total runs, so we are sticking with the Reds on the money line.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.