Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 4/24/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-9) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (13-10) on Wednesday, April 24th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Phillies vs Reds

philadelphia phillies nba

Cincinnati cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were the slight underdogs at +112.

Andrew Abbott only went 4 1/3 innings for the Reds but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued four walks. On the other side, Cristopher Sanchez got the start for the Phillies and took the loss, going just three innings and giving up four runs.

Santiago Espinal and Elly De La Cruz each homered for the Reds, while Christian Encarnacion-Strand went 3/4 with two RBIs. Alec Bohm had the lone home run for the Phillies, going 2/4.

Philadelphia is 15-9 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the NL East, two games behind the Braves. The Phillies are 3-3 against other teams in the NL East. In their most recent game, the Phillies lost to the Reds, but they won the series opener vs. the Reds.

So far, the Phillies have been good at home, going 10-6, and they are above .500 on the road at 5-3. Philadelphia has won two straight series and have an overall series record of 4-2-1 this year.

When betting the Phillies on the run line this season, it’s been a coin flip. They’re 11-13 overall, including 7-9 at home and 4-4 on the road. They’ve been favored in 20 of those games, going 9-11 against the run line, while they’re 2-2 as underdogs. Their average run margin for the season is +0.5 runs per game, but that number jumps to +0.8 on the road and +0.3 at home. In their wins, they’re winning by an average of 3.5 runs, but in their losses, they’re losing by an average of 4.6 runs.

Philadelphia’s over/under record is 9-14, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 1-6. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in just 3 of their 23 games this season.

Spencer Turnbull Gets The Start For The Phillies

Spencer Turnbull and the Phillies are on the road to take on the Reds. It’s been a strong start to the season for Turnbull, who is coming off a 7-strikeout, 0 earned run performance in his last outing. He has yet to give up a home run this season and has 17 strikeouts in 17 innings pitched.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. At home, they have been a little better, putting up 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, the Phillies are batting .244, and their team on-base percentage of .316 is 12th in the league. Alec Bohm has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/23 in his last six games with two homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .305 with three home runs.

Philadelphia’s team leader in homers is Kyle Schwarber, but he is batting just .200 this season and has gone 3/21 in his last six games. Trea Turner has been hot of late, going 10/27 in his last six games, and is batting .327 for the season. He has two homers and nine RBIs.

Cincinnati is 13-10 overall this season, and they are in 3rd place in the NL Central. The Reds are 1.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 1-2 in games against other teams in the NL Central. The Reds have gone 8-6 at home compared to 5-4 on the road.

As the favorite, Cincinnati has gone 9-4 this season and 4-6 as the underdog. Their overall series record this year is 4-3, and they lost the series opener vs. the Phillies but won the most recent game of the series.

The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 12-11 overall. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 7-7 compared to 5-4 on the road. They have been a better bet as the favorite, going 8-5, compared to 4-6 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.5, while it is -3.7 in losing games.

Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than the Reds’ average combined run average of 9.5 runs per game this season. Cincinnati has hit the over in 13 of their 22 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in two of their games this year, with one push and one under result in those contests.

Nick Lodolo Gets The Start For The Reds

After starting the season with a win on the road against the White Sox, Nick Lodolo is back on the mound for the Reds, this time at home vs. the Phillies. Lodolo was dominant in his first start, striking out 10 and only allowing 1 hit over 5 2/3 innings. He followed that up with a win at home vs. the Angels, where he went 6 1/3 innings and struck out 6.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Elly De La Cruz has been a key run producer for the Reds this season, as his seven homers is 2nd in the league and leads the team. He is also 2nd on the team with a batting average of .295. Over his last nine games, De La Cruz has three homers but is hitting just .259. Spencer Steer is also swinging a good bat for the Reds, as he is batting .277 for the season and has gone deep three times.

As a team, the Reds are 7th in the league in scoring at 5.2 runs per game. This has also been the case at home and on the road. So far, they are batting just .221, which is 20th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .306 is also below the league average.


Phillies vs Reds Prediction


Our prediction for today’s Phillies vs. Reds matchup is to take the Reds on the money line at -113. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 5-4. At -113, the implied probability for the Reds is 53%, and we have them winning this one just over 50% of the time.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Nick Lodolo finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for third-best among today’s starters. As for Spencer Turnbull, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him right in the middle of today’s starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.