Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 4/25/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-10) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (14-10) on Thursday, April 25th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 1:10 ET.

Phillies vs Reds

philadelphia phillies nba

Cincinnati picked up a 7-4 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -153 on the money line.

Spencer Turnbull got the start for the Phillies, going just five innings while giving up one run and striking out eight. Seranthony Dominguez took the loss. Justin Wilson got the win out of the bullpen for the Reds as Nick Lodolo went five innings, giving up three earned runs.

Will Benson hit the game’s only home run while going 2/5 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Elly De La Cruz also had a good game at the plate, going 3/5 with three RBIs.

As the Phillies are on the road today vs. the Reds, they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which came after winning the series opener vs. the Reds. In the NL East, the Phillies are in 2nd place, three games behind the Braves. Philadelphia’s overall record is 15-10, and they are 3-3 against other teams in the NL East.

Philadelphia has been good at home this season, going 10-6, and they are just above .500 on the road at 5-4. The Phillies have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 4-2-1 this year. As the favorite, the Phillies are 13-7 and 2-3 as the underdog.

Philadelphia has been a tough team to predict against the run line, as they are just 11-14 overall. They have been a much better bet at home, going 7-9, compared to just 4-5 on the road. They have been favored in 20 of their games, going 9-11 against the run line in those contests. They have a positive run differential on the season, but it is just 0.3 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Phillies-Reds game is right in line with the Phillies’ season average of 8 runs per game. The Phillies have played 24 games this season, and 17 of them have had over/under lines of 8 or higher. In those 17 games, the over is 10-7. In the seven games with lines lower than 8, the over is 0-7.

Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies

Zack Wheeler is on the mound for the Phillies today, and he is coming off a strong outing in his last start. Wheeler picked up the win against the White Sox, going 7 1/3 innings and striking out 8. He has faced the Reds once already this season, taking the loss despite striking out 10 batters.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia’s offense has been solid this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 4.8 runs per contest. The Phillies are also one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league, and they have the 6th best team batting average in the league.

Alec Bohm comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .337, and he has gone 16/35 in his last 10 games, with two homers and 11 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber has gone deep six times this season, but he is hitting just .202 and has gone 4/36 in his last 10 games.

Cincinnati is 14-10 overall and have won two straight games, closing out their series with the Phillies with two wins. The Reds are 3rd in the NL Central, and they are 1.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 1-2 in games against other teams in the NL Central.

As the favorite, the Reds are 10-4 this season, and they are 4-6 as the underdog. At home, they are 9-6 compared to 5-4 on the road. Cincinnati has been really good in day games, going 9-3.

The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 13-11 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 8-7 against the run line. Cincinnati has an average run margin of 1.0 runs per game this season. They have been even better at home, where they have a run line record of 8-7 and an average run margin of 0.9 runs per game.

When the Reds and Phillies have played this season, the combined run average has been 9.6. The over/under record for Reds games this season is 14-9, and the average over/under line for their games is 9.0. In games where the over/under line has been set at 8.0, the over/under record is 3-1.

Nick Martinez Gets The Start For The Reds

Nick Martinez will be making his third start of the season for the Reds, and he has yet to earn a decision in his first two outings. He has gone 3 innings in each of his first two starts, giving up 2 runs in his first start and 1 run in his second outing.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 6/14 in his last five games with a home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .313 and has a team-high seven home runs. Spencer Steer and the struggling Will Benson are tied for 2nd on the team with three homers. Steer has been a bit better at the plate, hitting .267 compared to Benson’s mark of .203.

As a team, the Reds are 7th in scoring at 5.3 runs per game. They are also among the league leaders in isolated power and have the 4th ranked home run offense in the league. Overall, they are batting just .226 and have a collective on-base percentage of just .312.


Phillies vs Reds Prediction


At +134, the Reds are a great value pick to win this one straight up. With the money line, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs and we have this one ending with a 5-4 win for the Reds.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Nick Martinez is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts than Zack Wheeler. However, Wheeler is projected to go for more innings. If you’re looking for a Wheeler prop bet, his strikeout number is at six.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.