The Philadelphia Phillies (38-15) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (17-34) on Sunday, May 26th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on None. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 3:10 ET.
Phillies vs Rockies
Thanks to a six-run 9th inning for the Phillies’ offense, they cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -242 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Aaron Nola for the Phillies, and he went six innings while giving up two runs and striking out five. Nola picked up a win in the game, while Justin Lawrence took the loss for the Rockies out of the bullpen.
At the plate, Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber each homered for the Phillies, while Garrett Stubbs went 2/4 with two RBIs and scored a run. Alec Bohm also had a two-hit game and drove in a run for Philadelphia’s offense.
Philadelphia is currently 38-15 overall, leading the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies are 11-5 against other teams in the NL East. They have been really good at home, going 22-8, and they have also been strong on the road, coming in at 16-7 this season.
The Phillies have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 11-2-4 this year. This season, they are 33-12 as the favorite and 5-3 as the underdog. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 23-8.
When betting on the run line in Phillies games, it’s been a profitable endeavor so far this season. Philadelphia has covered the run line in 30 of its 53 games, including a 14-9 mark on the road. The Phillies’ average run margin for the season is +1.8, and they’ve been even better at home, where they’ve covered the run line in 16 of 30 games.
The Phillies are on the road in Colorado facing the Rockies today. The over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 9.0 runs per game this season. Philadelphia’s over/under record is 26-24 on the year, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. This is the first time this season that the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs for a Phillies game. So far, only 5.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.
Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 9-0 with an ERA of 1.36. Suárez has been excellent this year, coming in with a WHIP of .79 and batting average allowed of .168. The left-hander has one complete game shutout this year and has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Suárez went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. He has won each of his last three starts.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. The Phillies are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have the league’s best on-base percentage.
Bryce Harper has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/29 over his past eight games, including three home runs. For the season, he is batting .282 with 13 homers. Alec Bohm is batting .317 for the season and leads the team with 46 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber is 3rd on the team with 31 RBIs but has just a .234 batting average.
With a record of 17-34, the Rockies are 14.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they have gone just 8-12 against other NL West teams. Colorado has dropped two straight series and is 2-13-1 in series play this year.
At home, the Rockies are 10-13 compared to 7-21 on the road. So far, they have yet to win a game as the favorite. As for their record in day games, they are 6-14 this season.
When the Rockies win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.2 runs per game. However, when they lose, it’s often by a wide margin, with an average run margin of -3.9 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 27-24, and they are 12-11 against the run line at home. They are 15-13 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -1.9 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 27-24 against the run line, and they have not been favored in any games this season.
When the Rockies play at home, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 27-24 overall, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 9.5 runs, their over/under record is 3-2. Overall, 18 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, accounting for 35.3% of their games this season.
Cal Quantrill Gets The Start For The Rockies
Colorado is sending right-hander Cal Quantrill to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 3-3 with a 3.59 ERA. Quantrill’s WHIP for the season is 1.25, and he has turned in seven quality starts. In his last outing, Quantrill finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Athletics. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Quantrill has been much better on the road, coming in with an ERA of 4.0 compared to 4.2 at home.
Rockies Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Rockies are batting .247 as a team, which is 8th in the league. They are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. Colorado has been a bit better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. The Rockies have been a good home run hitting team so far but are just 12th in the league in homers.
Ryan McMahon and Ezequiel Tovar have been the Rockies’ top two hitters this season, with McMahon leading the team with a .293 batting average and 30 RBIs. Tovar is hitting .288 and has gone deep seven times. Tovar has been hot of late, going 10/31 in his last six games, with two homers.
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction
We do like the Phillies to pick up the win on the money line, but with the payout sitting at -230, we are actually going to recommend taking the under at 9.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you wanted to take the under at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ranger Suarez going six innings, while Cal Quantrill is projected to go just five. Suarez is also predicted to finish with five strikeouts, compared to Quantrill at five as well.
Offensively, the Phillies are predicted to finish with just eight hits, compared to the Rockies at nine. However, the Rockies are predicted to finish with more strikeouts, and they are also projected to hit fewer home runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 26, 2024 Phillies, Rockies