Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction 5/10/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (26-12) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (10-29) on Friday, May 10th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. Both the Phillies and Marlins are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Phillies vs Marlins

philadelphia phillies nba

Heading into their last game vs. the Blue Jays, the Phillies closed out the series with a 5-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 6th inning before the Blue Jays scored three runs in the top of the 6th. Philadelphia was the -174 favorite at home going into the game.

Aaron Nola got the start for the Phillies and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on nine hits. Nick Castellanos was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored. The Phillies also had a big 3rd inning, with Bryson Stott driving in two runs with a double.

Philadelphia is on the road today to take on the Marlins, and they lead the NL East by two games over the Braves. So far, the Phillies are 3-3 in divisional games, and they are 26-12 overall. The Phillies have won two straight games and are 8-2 over their last 10.

At home, the Phillies have gone 15-7 this season, and they have been really good on the road, as they are 11-5. This year, the Phillies have been the favorite in most of their games, and they are 22-9 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Phillies are 4-3 this season. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 7-2-3 and have won two straight series on the road.

When betting on the Phillies this season, it’s been a good idea to take them on the run line. They have a run line record of 19-19 and have covered the run line in 9 of their 16 games as the favorite. Their average run margin this season is +1.4 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in 9 of their 16 games on the road.

Philadelphia Phillies games have gone over the over/under line in 17 of 36 games this season. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, but the O/U line for today’s game against the Miami Marlins is set at 7.5 runs. The Phillies have played in 26 games with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and the over is 2-7 in games with a 7.5-run line.

Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Marlins on the road. So far, he has made seven starts and has a record of 6-0 with an ERA of 1.72. Suárez has pitched well this year, with opponents batting just .168 off him. In his seven appearances, he has one complete game shutout and six quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez gave up three earned runs in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had not allowed a run in three straight starts. Per nine innings, he has 8.81 strikeouts and just 1.15 walks.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, as they are 5th in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in batting average and have the league’s 5th best home run total. The Phillies have been tough to strike out and are 4th in the league in walks.

Alec Bohm and Trea Turner have been two of the Phillies’ top hitters this season, as they are batting .346 and .343, respectively. Bohm’s 32 RBIs are the best in the league, while Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber are both near the top of the league in home runs. Harper has gone 9/32 in his last 10 games, including three homers.

The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 3-1 loss. Miami was the +218 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Dodgers scored in the bottom of the first.

Miami started Ryan Weathers, and he took the loss, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. The Marlins also wasted a big game from Bryan De La Cruz, who homered in the 1st inning but went 2/4.

Miami is hosting the Phillies today with an overall record of 10-29, which puts them 16.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-9. The Marlins have dropped three straight games, and they lost the final game of their series with the Dodgers, so they are on a three-game losing streak in their series.

At home, the Marlins are just 5-15 this year and 5-14 on the road. So far, they have been a favorite in 14 games and have gone just 3-11 in those games. As for their record as the underdog, they are 7-18 this year. Miami has won three straight games at home, and their overall series record is 1-10-1 this year.

The Marlins are 11-28 against the run line this season, including a 4-16 mark at home. They have failed to cover the run line in three straight games and are just 1-13 against the run line as the favorite. Their average run differential in losses this season is -3.9 runs per game.

When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. This season, their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 22-17. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 5-2. In 79.5% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs.

Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins

Miami is sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 0-5 with a 6.15 ERA. In his 33 2/3 innings of work, Rogers has a WHIP of 1.72 and has allowed a total of four home runs. Rogers is coming off a rough outing vs. the Athletics, where he gave up eight hits, three walks, and two homers in 2 1/3 innings of work. He took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are 25th in the league in runs scored, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. This number is even worse on the road, where they are averaging just 3.4 runs per contest. Miami does have a league-leading home run hitter in Bryan De La Cruz, who is also batting .269 for the season and has gone 8/26 with three homers over his last seven games.

As a team, the Marlins are batting just .225, which is 18th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Miami will be looking for Nick Gordon to break out of his season-long slump, as he is batting just .198 this season.

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies, which would make the over a good bet. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we would recommend taking the over at -111.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Trevor Rogers finishing with six strikeouts compared to Ranger Suarez with five. However, we have Suarez finishing with a better ERA and picking up the win.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.