The Philadelphia Phillies (28-12) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (10-31) on Sunday, May 12th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on NSPPH. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 1:40 ET.
Phillies vs Marlins
Philadelphia cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -128 on the money line.
Taijuan Walker started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. On the other side, Jesus Luzardo got the start for the Marlins and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
At the plate, the Phillies were led by Cristian Pache, Bryson Stott, and Alec Bohm, as each player had two RBIs. Johan Rojas also had a two-hit game and scored twice for Philadelphia’s offense.
Philadelphia is on the road today vs. the Marlins, leading the NL East with a record of 28-12. The Phillies currently lead the Braves by two games for the division lead. The Phillies have gone 5-3 in divisional games this year.
The Phillies have won two straight games, and they are 9-1 over their last 10 games overall. So far, they have taken two straight series. At home, the Phillies are 15-7 this year, and they have gone 13-5 on the road. As the road favorite, the Phillies are 10-4 this year, and they are 24-9 as the favorite overall.
The Phillies have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 11-7 against the spread. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and are 17-16 overall as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9 runs per game.
The over/under line for the Phillies’ game against the Marlins is set at 7 runs, which is lower than their average combined run total of 8.8 runs per game this season. The over/under record for the Phillies this season is 19-19, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 7 runs, the Phillies have a record of 2-0-1, and their games have averaged 11 runs per game over their last two games.
Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies
Zack Wheeler has been dominant this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 1.64. Wheeler has made a total of eight starts, and he has turned in six quality starts. In his most recent outing, Wheeler went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Looking back over his last four starts, he has not allowed more than one earned run in any outing. Wheeler’s WHIP for the season is an impressive 0.89. Per nine innings, he is averaging 11.49 strikeouts. So far, he has allowed just three home runs.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia comes into the game as the 2nd highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies are 2nd in team batting average (.263) and have the league’s 3rd best slugging percentage. The Phillies have been a tough lineup to strike out this season and are near the top of the league in walks.
Over his last eight games, Bryce Harper has gone 10/28 with three homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .260 with a team-high nine home runs. Alec Bohm has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .343 with four homers and 32 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber also has nine homers this season but is hitting just .217.
Miami is 10-31 overall, and they are 18.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-11. The Marlins have dropped five straight games and lost the first two games of this series vs. the Phillies. Their overall series record is 1-10-1 this year.
At home, the Marlins are just 5-17 this year compared to a 5-14 mark on the road. So far, they have really struggled to close out games, as their record in day games is 6-14. Miami is also 4-17 in night games this year.
The Marlins have been a poor run line bet this season, going 11-30 overall. They are just 4-18 against the run line at home and have failed to cover in their last three games at home. They have been a slight underdog in most of their games, going 10-17 against the run line as the underdog. Their average run differential this season is -2.2 runs per game.
The Miami Marlins have been involved in high-scoring games all season, as their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 24-17, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. Their game today against the Philadelphia Phillies has an over/under line of 7 runs, and their games have had an over/under line of 7 runs just once this season. Their games have had an over/under line of 7 runs just once this season, and their games have had an over/under line of 7 runs just once this season.
Braxton Garrett Gets The Start For The Marlins
Braxton Garrett is coming off a season in which he made 31 appearances and 30 starts. His record for the season was 9-7, and he finished the year with a 3.66 ERA. Garrett made 10 quality starts and allowed a total of 20 home runs. In terms of his strikeout-to-walk ratio, he finished the season with a mark of 5.4. Last season, Garrett faced the Phillies twice and went 1-0 with an ERA of 1.54.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .226, which is 15th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .282 is 25th. Miami’s team OPS of .625 is also 28th in the league.
Bryan De La Cruz and Nick Gordon have been two of the Marlins’ best hitters of late, with De La Cruz batting .318 over his last six games and Gordon hitting .471 over his last five games. De La Cruz is currently on a seven-game hitting streak, and he has a team-high eight homers this season. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also been a solid power threat, as he has five homers and is batting .243 for the season.
Phillies vs Marlins Prediction
With the Marlins at +196 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. They are projected to pick up a 5-4 win, and with the payout, this is a great spot to take the Marlins and Braxton Garrett, who we have finishing with six strikeouts.
Looking at Zack Wheeler, he does have a good chance to pick up a win, but his payout is just -239. Wheeler is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, while Garrett is predicted to finish with six.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 12, 2024 Marlins, Phillies